Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23617533›Full record

ArticleBritish journal of clinical pharmacology2013

Not-in-trial simulation I: Bridging cardiovascular risk from clinical trials to real-life conditions.

Anne S Y Chain, Jeanne P Dieleman, Charlotte van Noord, Albert Hofman, Bruno H Ch Stricker, Meindert Danhof, Miriam C J M Sturkenboom, Oscar Della Pasqua

Abstract readClinical Trial, Phase I
In one paragraph

Article in British journal of clinical pharmacology, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Integration of PKPD relationships into benefit-risk analysis.British journal of clinical pharmacology · 2015
    Review
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. The Rotterdam Study: 2014 objectives and design update.European journal of epidemiology · 2013
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Anne S Y ChainLeiden/Amsterdam Center for Drug Research, Division of Pharmacology, Leiden University, 2300 RA, Leiden, The Netherlands; Department of Medical Informatics, Erasmus Medical Centre, 3015 GE, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Jeanne P Dieleman
Charlotte van Noord
Albert Hofman
Bruno H Ch Stricker
Meindert Danhof
Miriam C J M Sturkenboom
Oscar Della Pasqua

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsThe assessment of heart rate-corrected QT (QTc) interval prolongation relies on the evidence of drug effects in healthy subjects. This study demonstrates the relevance of pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic (PKPD) relationships to characterize drug-induced QTc interval prolongation and explore the discrepancies between clinical trials and real-life conditions.

methodsd,l-Sotalol data from healthy subjects and from the Rotterdam Study cohort were used to assess treatment response in a phase I setting and in a real-life conditions, respectively. Using modelling and simulation, drug effects at therapeutic doses were predicted in both populations.

resultsInclusion criteria were shown to restrict the representativeness of the trial population in comparison to real-life conditions. A significant part of the typical patient population was excluded from trials due to weight and baseline QTc interval criteria. Relative risk was significantly different between sotalol users with and without heart failure, hypertension, diabetes and myocardial infarction (P < 0.01). Although drug effects do cause an increase in the relative risk of QTc interval prolongation, the presence of diabetes represented an increase from 4.0 [95% confidence interval (CI) 2.7-5.8] to 6.5 (95% CI 1.6-27.1), whilst for myocardial infarction it increased from 3.4 (95% CI 2.3-5.13) to 15.5 (95% CI 4.9-49.3).

conclusionsOur findings show that drug effects on QTc interval do not explain the observed QTc values in the population. The prevalence of high QTc values in the real-life population can be assigned to co-morbidities and concomitant medications. These findings substantiate the need to account for these factors when evaluating the cardiovascular risk of medicinal products.

Indexed as

Computer SimulationModels, BiologicalAdolescentAdrenergic beta-AntagonistsAdultCohort StudiesElectrocardiographyFemaleHealthy VolunteersHumansLong QT SyndromeMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesRisk AssessmentSotalolAdrenergic beta-AntagonistsSotalolmodel-based drug development, risk managementobservational cohortspharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic modellingQTc interval prolongationsotalol

Identifiers

PMID23617533
PMCPMC3845320

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.