Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23616071›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of cancer2013

Divergent estrogen receptor-positive and -negative breast cancer trends and etiologic heterogeneity in Denmark.

William F Anderson, Philip S Rosenberg, Lucia Petito, Hormuzd A Katki, Bent Ejlertsen, Marianne Ewertz, Birgitte B Rasmussen, Maj-Britt Jensen, Niels Kroman

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of cancer, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed.

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  19. Improvements in US Breast Cancer Survival and Proportion Explained by Tumor Size and Estrogen-Receptor Status.Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology · 2015
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  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

William F AndersonDHHS/NIH/National Cancer Institute/Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics/Biostatistics Branch, Bethesda, MD, USA. wanderso@mail.nih.gov
Philip S Rosenberg
Lucia Petito
Hormuzd A Katki
Bent Ejlertsen
Marianne Ewertz
Birgitte B Rasmussen
Maj-Britt Jensen
Niels Kroman

Funding

Descriptive Studies and Record LinkageZIACP010183 · NCI · DIVISION OF CANCER EPIDEMIOLOGY AND GENETICS · PI SHIELS, MEREDITH · 2009 to 2025
$10.7M
Descriptive Studies and Record LinkageZ01CP010183 · NCI · DIVISION OF CANCER EPIDEMIOLOGY AND GENETICS · PI ANDERSON, WILLIAM · 2003 to 2008
$3.3M
Intramural NIH HHS Z01 CP010183
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Long-term breast cancer trends in incidence in the United States (US) show rising estrogen receptor (ER)-positive rates and falling ER-negative rates. We hypothesized that these divergent trends reflect etiologic heterogeneity and that comparable trends should be observed in other countries with similar risk factor profiles. Therefore, we analyzed invasive female breast cancers in Denmark, a country with similar risk factors as the US. We summarized the overall trend in age-standardized rates with the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) statistic (1993-2010) and used age-period-cohort models to estimate age-specific EAPCs, cohort rate ratios and projections for future time periods (2011-2018). In Denmark, the overall rate of ER-positive cancers rose between 1993 and 2010 by 3.0% per year (95% CI: 2.8-3.3% per year), whereas the overall rate of ER-negative cancers fell by 2.1% per year (95% CI: -2.5 to -1.6% per year). The ER-positive rate increased fastest among postmenopausal women and the ER-negative rate decreased fastest among premenopausal women, reflecting that cohorts born after 1944 were at relatively higher risk of ER-positive tumors and lower risk of ER-negative tumors. If current trends continue, ER-positive cancers will increase at least 13% by 2018 in Denmark, ER-negative cancers will fall 15% by 2018, and breast cancer overall will increase at least 7% by 2018. Divergent ER-specific trends are consistent with distinct etiologic pathways. If trends in known risk factors are responsible, the Danish and US experience may foreshadow a common pattern worldwide.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsBreast NeoplasmsDenmarkFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansIncidenceMiddle AgedNeoplasm GradingNeoplasm InvasivenessPrognosisReceptors, EstrogenRisk FactorsReceptors, Estrogenage-period-cohort modelsbreast cancerepidemiologyestrogen receptor

Identifiers

PMID23616071
PMCPMC3749265

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.