SynthesisDiabetes care2013
Blood 25-hydroxy vitamin D levels and incident type 2 diabetes: a meta-analysis of prospective studies.
Synthesis in Diabetes care, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 268 papers, 16 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
268 citing papers in PubMed, 16 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Vitamin D supplementation vs. placebo and incident type 2 diabetes in an ancillary study of the randomized Vitamin D and Omega-3 Trial.Nature communications · 2025Pooled it
- Assessing the potency of vitamin D augmentation on saccharometric indices in type 2 diabetes: a meta-analysis.Frontiers in nutrition · 2025Pooled it
- Vitamin D and Risk of Incident Type 2 Diabetes in Older Adults: An Updated Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Nutrients · 2024Pooled it
- Serum and supplemental vitamin D levels and insulin resistance in T2DM populations: a meta-analysis and systematic review.Scientific reports · 2023Pooled it
- Vitamin D and Multiple Health Outcomes: An Umbrella Review of Observational Studies, Randomized Controlled Trials, and Mendelian Randomization Studies.Advances in nutrition (Bethesda, Md.) · 2022Pooled it
- Supplementation of Vitamin D in the Postdelivery Period of Women with Previous Gestational Diabetes Mellitus: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Randomized Trials.Revista brasileira de ginecologia e obstetricia : revista da Federacao Brasileira das Sociedades de Ginecologia e Obstetricia · 2021Pooled it
- The association between circulating 25-hydroxyvitamin D metabolites and type 2 diabetes in European populations: A meta-analysis and Mendelian randomisation analysis.PLoS medicine · 2020Pooled it
- Circulating calcium levels and the risk of type 2 diabetes: a systematic review and meta-analysis.The British journal of nutrition · 2019Pooled it
- Association of vitamin D with risk of type 2 diabetes: A Mendelian randomisation study in European and Chinese adults.PLoS medicine · 2018Pooled it
- Pioglitazone and bladder cancer risk: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Cancer medicine · 2018Pooled it
- The Effect of Vitamin D Supplementation on Glycemic Control in Type 2 Diabetes Patients: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Nutrients · 2018Pooled it
- Risk factors for type 2 diabetes mellitus: An exposure-wide umbrella review of meta-analyses.PloS one · 2018Pooled it
- The effect of vitamin D supplementation on glucose metabolism in type 2 diabetes mellitus: A systematic review and meta-analysis of intervention studies.Journal of diabetes and its complications · 2017Pooled it
- Guideline
- Effects of vitamin D supplementation on endothelial function: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised clinical trials.European journal of nutrition · 2017Pooled it
- 25-Hydroxyvitamin D Status and Risk for Colorectal Cancer and Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Epidemiological Studies.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2017Pooled it
- Comparison of Traditional Chinese Exercise and Equipment-Based Exercise on Glycaemic Control and Vitamin D Levels in Middle-Aged and Elderly Patients With Prediabetes: A Randomised Controlled Trial.Endocrinology, diabetes & metabolism · 2026Trial
- Trial
- Effect of active vitamin D treatment on development of type 2 diabetes: DPVD randomised controlled trial in Japanese population.BMJ (Clinical research ed.) · 2022Trial
- Type 2 diabetes is more predictable in women than men by multiple anthropometric and biochemical measures.Scientific reports · 2021Trial
208 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
7 authors.
Funding
Abstract
objectiveTo quantitatively assess the strength and shape of the association between blood 25-hydroxy vitamin D [25(OH)D] levels and incident risk of type 2 diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND
methodsA systematic search of the MEDLINE and Embase databases and a hand search of references from original reports were conducted up to 31 October 2012. Prospective observational studies that assessed the association between blood levels of 25(OH)D and risk of incident type 2 diabetes were included for meta-analysis. DerSimonian and Laird's random-effects model was used. A quadratic spline regression analysis was used to examine the shape of the association with a generalized least-squares trend test performed for the dose-response relation.
resultsA total of 21 prospective studies involving 76,220 participants and 4,996 incident type 2 diabetes cases were included for meta-analysis. Comparing the highest to the lowest category of 25(OH)D levels, the summary relative risk for type 2 diabetes was 0.62 (95% CI 0.54-0.70). A spline regression model showed that higher 25(OH)D levels were monotonically associated with a lower diabetes risk. This inverse association did not differ by sex, duration of follow-up, study sample size, diabetes diagnostic criteria, or 25(OH)D assay method. A linear trend analysis showed that each 10 nmol/L increment in 25(OH)D levels was associated with a 4% lower risk of type 2 diabetes (95% CI 3-6; P for linear trend < 0.0001).
conclusionsOur meta-analysis showed an inverse and significant association between circulating 25(OH)D levels and risk of type 2 diabetes across a broad range of blood 25(OH)D levels in diverse populations.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.