Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23577792›Full record

ArticleCritical care (London, England)2013

A new scoring system derived from base excess and platelet count at presentation predicts mortality in paediatric meningococcal sepsis.

Alexessander Couto-Alves, Victoria J Wright, Karnan Perumal, Alexander Binder, Enitan D Carrol, Marieke Emonts, Ronald de Groot, Jan Hazelzet, Taco Kuijpers, Simon Nadel and 5 more

Open access · goldAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Critical care (London, England), 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.4field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 33 citations in OpenAlex.

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  9. Can Base Excess be Used for Prediction to Early Diagnosis of Neonatal Sepsis in Preterm Newborns?Mediterranean journal of hematology and infectious diseases · 2019
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  11. Attributable Risk and Time Course of Colistin-Associated Acute Kidney Injury.Clinical journal of the American Society of Nephrology : CJASN · 2018
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors at 7 institutions in 4 countries.

Alexessander Couto-Alves
Victoria J Wright
Karnan Perumal
Alexander Binder
Enitan D Carrol
Marieke Emonts
Ronald de Groot
Jan Hazelzet
Taco Kuijpers
Simon Nadel
Werner Zenz
Padmanabhan Ramnarayan
Michael Levin
Lachlan Coin
David P Inwald
Imperial College London · GBBoston Children's Hospital · USMedical University of Graz · ATAlder Hey Children's NHS Foundation Trust · GBErasmus MC - Sophia Children’s Hospital · NLRadboud University Nijmegen · NLSt Mary's Hospital · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionThe aim of this study was to derive a novel prognostic score for mortality in paediatric meningococcal sepsis (MS) based on readily available laboratory markers.

methodsA multicentre retrospective cohort study for the consortium set and a single centre retrospective study for replication set. The consortium set were 1,073 children (age 1 week to 17.9 years) referred over a 15-year period (1996 to 2011), who had an admission diagnosis of MS, referred to paediatric intensive care units (PICUs) in six different European centres. The consortium set was split into a development set and validation set to derive the score. The replication set were 134 children with MS (age 2 weeks to 16 years) referred over a 4-year period (2007 to 2011) to PICUs via the Children's Acute Transport Service (CATS), London.

resultsA total of 85/1,073 (7.9%) children in the consortium set died. A total of 16/134 (11.9%) children in the replication set died. Children dying in the consortium set had significantly lower base excess, C-reactive protein (CRP), platelet and white cell count, more deranged coagulation and higher lactate than survivors. Paediatric risk of mortality (PRISM) score, Glasgow meningococcal septicaemia prognosis score (GMSPS) and Rotterdam score were also higher. Using the consortium set, a new scoring system using base excess and platelet count at presentation, termed the BEP score, was mathematically developed and validated. BEP predicted mortality with high sensitivity and specificity scores (area under the curve (AUC) in the validation set=0.86 and in the replication set=0.96). In the validation set, BEP score performance (AUC=0.86, confidence interval (CI): 0.80 to 0.91) was better than GMSPS (AUC=0.77, CI: 0.68, 0.85), similar to Rotterdam (AUC=0.87, CI: 0.81 to 0.93) and not as good as PRISM (AUC=0.93, CI: 0.85 to 0.97).

conclusionsThe BEP score, relying on only two variables that are quickly and objectively measurable and readily available at presentation, is highly sensitive and specific in predicting death from MS in childhood.

Indexed as

Severity of Illness IndexAdolescentChildChild, PreschoolCohort StudiesFemaleHumansInfantInfant, NewbornMaleMeningococcal InfectionsMortalityPlatelet CountPredictive Value of TestsProspective StudiesRetrospective Studies

Identifiers

PMID23577792
PMCPMC3672696
OpenAlexW2141555711

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.