Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23572044›Full record

ArticleThe European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care2014

Impact and cost-effectiveness of a universal strategy to promote physical activity in primary care: population-based cohort study and Markov model.

Martin C Gulliford, Judith Charlton, Nawaraj Bhattarai, Christopher Charlton, Caroline Rudisill

Abstract readEvaluation Study
In one paragraph

Article in The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Trial
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Comment on: "impact and cost-effectiveness of a universal strategy to promote physical activity in primary care".The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2015
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Martin C GullifordDepartment of Primary Care and Public Health Sciences, King's College London, Capital House, 42 Weston St, London, SE1 3QD, UK, martin.gulliford@kcl.ac.uk.
Judith Charlton
Nawaraj Bhattarai
Christopher Charlton
Caroline Rudisill

Funding

Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research CouncilBritish Heart FoundationCancer Research UKMedical Research Council G0900845Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThis study aimed to estimate the cost-effectiveness of a universal strategy to promote physical activity in primary care.

methodsData were analysed for a cohort of participants from the general practice research database. Empirical estimates informed a Markov model that included five long-term conditions (diabetes, coronary heart disease, stroke, colorectal cancer and depression). Simulations compared an intervention promoting physical activity in healthy adults with standard care. The intervention effect on physical activity was from a meta-analysis of randomised trials. The annual cost of intervention, in the base case, was one family practice consultation per participant year. The primary outcome was net health benefit in quality adjusted life years (QALYs).

resultsA cohort of 262,704 healthy participants entered the model. Intervention was associated with an increase in life years lived free from physical disease. With 5 years intervention the increase was 52 (95 % interval -11 to 115) per 1,000 participants entering the model (probability increased 91.9 %); with 10 years intervention the increase was 102 (42-164) per 1,000 (probability 99.7 %). Net health benefits at a threshold of £30,000 per QALY were 3.2 (-11.1 to 16.9) QALYs per 1,000 participants with 5 years intervention (probability cost-effective 64.7 %) and 5.0 (-9.5 to 19.3) with 10 years intervention (probability cost-effective 72.4 %).

conclusionsA universal strategy to promote physical activity in primary care has the potential to increase life years lived free from physical disease. There is only weak evidence that a universal intervention strategy might prove cost-effective.

Indexed as

ExercisePrimary Health CareQuality-Adjusted Life YearsAdultAgedAged, 80 and overChronic DiseaseCohort StudiesCost-Benefit AnalysisDatabases, FactualFemaleHealth PromotionHumansMaleMarkov ChainsMiddle Aged

Identifiers

PMID23572044
PMCPMC3996351

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.