Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23568342›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Heart Association2013

The value of carotid artery plaque and intima-media thickness for incident cardiovascular disease: the multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis.

Joseph F Polak, Moyses Szklo, Richard A Kronmal, Gregory L Burke, Steven Shea, Anna E H Zavodni, Daniel H O'Leary

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Heart Association, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It reports registered trial NCT01212900. Cited by 152 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
152citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT01212900 phase4completed

The RIGHT Study: Risk Stratification With Image Guidance of HMG Coa Reductase Inhibitor Therapy

Ran2010Enrolled230Registered outcomes1Posted comparisons0ConditionsAtherosclerosis, HypercholesterolemiaArmsStatins, HMG CoA
PMID 23872591PMID 24592924other papers from this trial
Open the trial in the graph
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

152 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. A systematic review of the status and methodological considerations for estimating risk of first ever stroke in the general population.Neurological sciences : official journal of the Italian Neurological Society and of the Italian Society of Clinical Neurophysiology · 2021
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  12. Endothelial BMP6 Drives Hemodynamic-Dependent VSMCs Calcification in Carotid Atherosclerosis.Advanced science (Weinheim, Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany) · 2026
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92 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Joseph F PolakUltrasound Reading Center, Department of Radiology, Tufts Medical Center, Boston, MA 02111, USA. jpolak@tuftsmedicalcenter.org
Moyses Szklo
Richard A Kronmal
Gregory L Burke
Steven Shea
Anna E H Zavodni
Daniel H O'Leary

Funding

CTSA INFRASTRUCTURE FOR PEDIATRIC RESEARCHUL1RR024156 · NCRR · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI GINSBERG, HENRY N · 2006 to 2011
$53.0M
Progression of sub-clinical AtherosclerosisR01HL081352 · NHLBI · TUFTS MEDICAL CENTER · PI POLAK, JOSEPH F · 2005 to 2009
$2.7M
Epidemiology of Cartoid IMT Progression in MESAR01HL069003 · NHLBI · TUFTS MEDICAL CENTER · PI POLAK, JOSEPH F · 2003 to 2007
$2.3M
SUBCLINICAL CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE STUDY--FIELD CENTERN01HC095165 · HC · WAKE FOREST UNIVERSITY · PI BURKE, GREGORY L · 1999 to 2001
$616k
SUBCLINICAL CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE COORDINATING CENTER-N01HC95159-268095159N01HC095159 · HC · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI KRONMAL, RICHARD A · 1999 to 2006
$304k
SUBCLINICAL CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE STUDY-ULTRASOUNDN01HC095167 · HC · TUFTS MEDICAL CENTER · PI O'LEARY, DANIEL H. · 1999 to 2001
$62k
NCRR NIH HHS UL-RR-024156NHLBI NIH HHS N01-HC-95159NHLBI NIH HHS N01-HC-95165NHLBI NIH HHS N01-HC-95167NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL069003NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL081352
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCarotid artery plaques are associated with coronary artery atherosclerotic lesions. We evaluated various ultrasound definitions of carotid artery plaque as predictors of future cardiovascular disease (CVD) and coronary heart disease (CHD) events. METHODS AND

resultsWe studied the risk factors and ultrasound measurements of the carotid arteries at baseline of 6562 members (mean age 61.1 years; 52.6% women) of the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). ICA lesions were defined subjectively as >0% or ≥25% diameter narrowing, as continuous intima-media thickness (IMT) measurements (maximum IMT or the mean of the maximum IMT of 6 images) and using a 1.5-mm IMT cut point. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios for incident CVD, CHD, and stroke. Harrell's C-statistics, Net Reclassification Improvement, and Integrated Discrimination Improvement were used to evaluate the incremental predictive value of plaque metrics. At 7.8-year mean follow-up, all plaque metrics significantly predicted CVD events (n=515) when added to Framingham risk factors. All except 1 metric improved the prediction of CHD (by C-statistic, Net Reclassification Improvement, and Integrated Discrimination Improvement. Mean of the maximum IMT had the highest NRI (7.0%; P=0.0003) with risk ratio of 1.43/mm; 95% CI 1.26-1.63) followed by maximum IMT with an NRI of 6.8% and risk ratio of 1.27 (95% CI 1.18-1.38).

conclusionUltrasound-derived plaque metrics independently predict cardiovascular events in our cohort and improve risk prediction for CHD events when added to Framingham risk factors.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overAngina PectorisCardiovascular DiseasesCarotid ArteriesCarotid Intima-Media ThicknessCarotid StenosisCohort StudiesCoronary DiseaseFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMaleMiddle AgedMyocardial InfarctionProportional Hazards Models

Identifiers

PMID23568342
PMCPMC3647272

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.