Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23555041›Full record

ArticlePloS one2013

Loss to follow-up as a competing risk in an observational study of HIV-1 incidence.

Susan M Graham, Janet Raboud, R Scott McClelland, Walter Jaoko, Jeckoniah Ndinya-Achola, Kishor Mandaliya, Julie Overbaugh, Ahmed M Bayoumi

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
0.7field-weighted citation impact, top 31% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 31 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 5 institutions in 3 countries.

Susan M GrahamDepartment of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America. grahamsm@u.washington.edu
Janet Raboud
R Scott McClelland
Walter Jaoko
Jeckoniah Ndinya-Achola
Kishor Mandaliya
Julie Overbaugh
Ahmed M Bayoumi
University of Nairobi · KEFred Hutch Cancer Center · USPublic Health Ontario · CASt. Michael's Hospital · CAUniversity of Washington · US

Funding

University of Washington/Fred Hutch Center for AIDS ResearchP30AI027757 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI CONNIE L CELUM · 1988 to 2026
$104.9M
EARLY INFECTION IN WOMEN EXPOSED MUCOSALLY TO HIV-1R37AI038518 · NIAID · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI OVERBAUGH, JULIE M. · 1999 to 2019
$12.9M
Vaginal Health and the Risk of HIV-1 Acquistion in Kenyan WomenP01HD064915 · NICHD · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI OVERBAUGH, JULIE M. · 2009 to 2013
$8.9M
Genital HIV-1 Shedding among Women Starting Second-Line Antiretroviral TherapyK23AI069990 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI GRAHAM, SUSAN MARIE · 2006 to 2010
$633k
EARLY INFECTION IN WOMEN EXPOSED MUCOSALLY TO HIV-1R01AI038518 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI OVERBAUGH, JULIE M · 1995 to 1998
–
CIHRNIAID NIH HHS K23 AI-069990NIAID NIH HHS K23 AI069990NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI027757NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI38518NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI71794NIAID NIH HHS R37 AI038518NICHD NIH HHS P01 HD064915NICHD NIH HHS P01 HD64915
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveConventional survival estimates may be biased if loss to follow-up (LTF) is associated with the outcome of interest. Our goal was to assess whether the association between sexual risk behavior and HIV-1 acquisition changed after accounting for LTF with competing risks regression.

methodsHIV-1-seronegative women who enrolled in a Kenyan sex worker cohort from 1993-2007 were followed prospectively and tested for HIV at monthly clinic visits. Our primary predictor was self-reported sexual risk behavior in the past week, analyzed as a time-dependent covariate. Outcomes included HIV-1 acquisition and LTF. We analyzed the data using Cox proportional hazards regression and competing risks regression, in which LTF was treated as a competing event.

resultsA total of 1,513 women contributed 4,150 person-years (py), during which 198 (13.1%) acquired HIV-1 infection (incidence, 4.5 per 100 py) and 969 (64.0%) were LTF (incidence, 23.4 per 100 py). After adjusting for potential confounders, women reporting unprotected sex with multiple partners were less likely to be lost to follow-up (adjusted sub-hazard ratio (aSHR) 0.50, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.32-0.76, relative to no sexual activity). The risk of HIV-1 acquisition after reporting unprotected sex with multiple partners was similar with Cox regression (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 2.41, 95% CI 1.36-4.27) and competing risks regression (aSHR 2.47, 95% CI 1.33-4.58).

conclusionsUnprotected sex with multiple partners was associated with higher HIV-1 acquisition risk, but lower attrition. This differential attrition did not substantially bias Cox regression estimates when compared to competing risks regression results.

Indexed as

Lost to Follow-UpRisk-TakingAdultCohort StudiesFemaleHIV-1HIV InfectionsHumansIncidenceRegression AnalysisRiskSexual BehaviorSex WorkersYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID23555041
PMCPMC3595247
OpenAlexW1971239213

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.