Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23543779›Full record

ArticleJournal of the National Cancer Institute2013

Estrogen plus progestin and breast cancer incidence and mortality in the Women's Health Initiative Observational Study.

Rowan T Chlebowski, JoAnn E Manson, Garnet L Anderson, Jane A Cauley, Aaron K Aragaki, Marcia L Stefanick, Dorothy S Lane, Karen C Johnson, Jean Wactawski-Wende, Chu Chen and 4 more

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 77 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
77citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

77 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  7. Nonsteroidal Anti-Inflammatory Drug and Aspirin Use in Relation to Lung Cancer Risk among Postmenopausal Women.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2015
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17 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Rowan T ChlebowskiLos Angeles Biomedical Research Institute at Harbor-UCLA Medical Center, Torrance, CA, 90502, USA. rowanchlebowski@gmail.com
JoAnn E Manson
Garnet L Anderson
Jane A Cauley
Aaron K Aragaki
Marcia L Stefanick
Dorothy S Lane
Karen C Johnson
Jean Wactawski-Wende
Chu Chen
Lihong Qi
Shagufta Yasmeen
Polly A Newcomb
Ross L Prentice

Funding

Staff InvestigatorsP30CA093373 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA DAVIS · PI Gina M Dayton · 2002 to 2026
$84.9M
UCLA Clinical and Translational Science InstituteUL1TR000124 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI DUBINETT, STEVEN M. · 2012 to 2015
$57.0M
Training and Research in Colon Cancer SurvivalK05CA152715 · NCI · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI NEWCOMB, POLLY A · 2010 to 2019
$991k
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000124NCI NIH HHS K05 CA152715NCI NIH HHS P30 CA093373
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn the Women's Health Initiative (WHI) randomized trial, estrogen plus progestin increased both breast cancer incidence and mortality. In contrast, most observational studies associate estrogen plus progestin with favorable prognosis breast cancers. To address differences, a cohort of WHI observational study participants with characteristics similar to the WHI clinical trial was studied.

methodsWe identified 41 449 postmenopausal women with no prior hysterectomy and mammogram negative within 2 years who were either not hormone users (n = 25 328) or estrogen and progestin users (n = 16 121). Multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazard regression was used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). All statistical tests were two-sided.

resultsAfter a mean of 11.3 (SD = 3.1) years, with 2236 breast cancers, incidence was higher in estrogen plus progestin users than in nonusers (0.60% vs 0.42%, annualized rate, respectively; HR = 1.55, 95% CI = 1.41 to 1.70, P < .001). Women initiating hormone therapy closer to menopause had higher breast cancer risk with linear diminishing influence as time from menopause increased (P < .001). Survival after breast cancer, measured from diagnosis, was similar in combined hormone therapy users and nonusers (HR = 1.03, 95% CI = 0.79 to 1.35). On a population basis, there were somewhat more deaths from breast cancer, measured from cohort entry (HR = 1.32, 95% CI = 0.90 to 1.93, P = .15), and more all-cause deaths after breast cancer (HR = 1.65, 95% CI = 1.29 to 2.12, P < .001) in estrogen plus progestin users than in nonusers.

conclusionsConsistent with WHI randomized trial findings, estrogen plus progestin use is associated with increased breast cancer incidence. Because prognosis after diagnosis on combined hormone therapy is similar to that of nonusers, increased breast cancer mortality can be expected.

Indexed as

AgedBiomarkers, TumorBreast NeoplasmsCarcinoma, Ductal, BreastEstrogen Replacement TherapyEstrogensFemaleHumansIncidenceLymphatic MetastasisMiddle AgedPostmenopauseProgestinsPrognosisSEER ProgramUnited StatesBiomarkers, TumorEstrogensProgestins

Identifiers

PMID23543779
PMCPMC3691942

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.