Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23519304›Full record

ArticleJournal of lower genital tract disease2013

Five-year risks of CIN 2+ and CIN 3+ among women with HPV-positive and HPV-negative LSIL Pap results.

Hormuzd A Katki, Mark Schiffman, Philip E Castle, Barbara Fetterman, Nancy E Poitras, Thomas Lorey, Li C Cheung, Tina Raine-Bennett, Julia C Gage, Walter K Kinney

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of lower genital tract disease, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.9field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 65 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  6. Evidence of Decreased Long-term Risk of Cervical Precancer after Negative Primary HPV Screens Compared with Negative Cytology Screens in a Longitudinal Cohort Study.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2024
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  13. Risk Stratification Using Human Papillomavirus Testing among Women with Equivocally Abnormal Cytology: Results from a State-Wide Surveillance Program.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2016
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 6 institutions in 1 country.

Hormuzd A KatkiDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health/DHHS, Bethesda, MD 20892, USA. katkih@mail.nih.gov
Mark Schiffman
Philip E Castle
Barbara Fetterman
Nancy E Poitras
Thomas Lorey
Li C Cheung
Tina Raine-Bennett
Julia C Gage
Walter K Kinney
Kaiser Permanente · USUnited States Department of Health and Human Services · USAlbert Einstein College of Medicine · USInformation Management Services · USNational Institutes of Health · USRegional Urology · US

Funding

Methods for Epidemiology StudiesZIACP010181 · NCI · DIVISION OF CANCER EPIDEMIOLOGY AND GENETICS · PI ALBERT, PAUL · 2009 to 2025
$34.8M
Human Papillomavirus (HPV) Natural History, Genomics and Risk AssessmentZIACP010206 · NCI · DIVISION OF CANCER EPIDEMIOLOGY AND GENETICS · PI SCHIFFMAN, MARK · 2010 to 2025
$17.1M
Intramural NIH HHS ZIA CP010181Intramural NIH HHS ZIA CP010206
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveLow-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (LSIL) Pap results do not typically lead to human papillomavirus (HPV) testing. HPV triage is not cost-effective because most cases are HPV-positive. However, under new national guidelines recommending cotesting for women aged 30 to 64 years, clinicians will increasingly receive the HPV test result with LSIL Pap results. Some authors have suggested that HPV triage might be effective at older ages, when the percentage of HPV positivity among women with LSIL declines.

methodsWe estimated 5-year risks of CIN 2+ and CIN 3+ among 9,033 women aged 30 to 64 years who had both an HPV test and an LSIL Pap result.

resultsHPV positivity among women with LSIL decreased only slightly with age (30 to 34 vs 60 to 64 years, 88% vs 72%, p < .0001). The 5-year risks of CIN 2+ and CIN 3+ of women aged 30 to 64 years testing HPV-positive/LSIL were larger than those among women testing HPV-negative/LSIL (CIN 2+, 19% vs 5.1%, p < .0001; CIN 3+, 6.1% vs 2.0%, p<.0001). The 5-year risk of CIN 3+ in HPV-negative/LSIL women was similar to that for women with atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance (ASC-US) Pap test result without knowledge of HPV test results (2.0% vs 2.6%, p = .4).

conclusionsHPV-negative/LSIL posed lower risk than other Pap results that guidelines currently recommend for referral to immediate colposcopy. By the principle of "equal management of equal risks," women with HPV-negative/LSIL might reasonably be managed similarly to those with ASC-US Pap results without knowledge of HPV testing, that is, retesting at 6 to 12 months, rather than immediate colposcopy. Although the HPV test result for LSIL Pap results provides actionable information to clinicians who screen with cotesting, the high HPV positivity of LSIL at even the oldest ages suggests the lack of cost-effectiveness of HPV triage of LSIL for clinicians who do not use routine cotesting.

Indexed as

AdultCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMass ScreeningMiddle AgedPapillomavirus InfectionsRisk AssessmentUnited StatesUterine Cervical DysplasiaUterine Cervical NeoplasmsVaginal SmearsVirology

Identifiers

PMID23519304
PMCPMC3637971
OpenAlexW1963844243

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.