Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23515376›Full record

ArticleFamily practice2013

Can patients or clinicians predict the severity or duration of an acute upper respiratory infection?

E Longmier, B Barrett, R Brown

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Family practice, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
0.2field-weighted citation impact, top 38% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 7 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Effect of aNutrients · 2019
    Trial
  2. Trial
  3. Article
  4. Serum IFN-γ-induced protein 10 (IP-10) as a biomarker for severity of acute respiratory infection in healthy adults.Journal of clinical virology : the official publication of the Pan American Society for Clinical Virology · 2017
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

E LongmierDepartment of Family Medicine, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, Alumni Hall, 1100 Delaplaine ct, Madison, WI 53715, USA. Elizabeth.longmier@fammed.wisc.edu
B Barrett
R Brown
University of Wisconsin–Madison · US

Funding

Institutional Clinical and Translational Science AwardUL1TR000427 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI DREZNER, MARC KENNETH · 2012 to 2016
$32.2M
INSTITUTIONAL CTSA (UW-MADISON): CLINICAL TRIALSUL1RR025011 · NCRR · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI DREZNER, MARC KENNETH · 2007 to 2011
$29.5M
Placebo: Physician or Pill? RCT in a commom cold modelR01AT001428 · NCCIH · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI BARRETT, BRUCE P · 2003 to 2006
$1.2M
Mentoring and research in patient-oriented medicineK24AT006543 · NCCIH · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI BARRETT, BRUCE P · 2012 to 2016
$818k
MENTORED PATIENT-ORIENTED RESEARCH CAREER DEVELOPMENTK23AT000051 · NCCIH · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN MADISON · PI BARRETT, BRUCE P · 1999 to 2002
$404k
NCATS NIH HHS 9U54TR000021NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000427NCCIH NIH HHS 1-RO1-AT-1428NCCIH NIH HHS K23AT00051NCCIH NIH HHS K24 AT006543NCRR NIH HHS 1UL1RR025011NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR025011PHS HHS T32HP10010
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeAcute upper respiratory infections (URI) are the second most common diagnosis in primary care offices. As treatments have limited effectiveness, patient counseling regarding expectations for the course of the URI is an important aspect of care. It is unknown how accurate patients, clinicians or questionnaires such as the Wisconsin Upper Respiratory Symptom Survey (WURSS) instrument are at predicting URI severity and duration, and whether these predictions should be used to counsel patients.

methodsSeven hundred and nineteen individuals with recent onset cold in community clinic settings participated. Participants and clinicians predicted the severity and duration of the URI and participants completed the WURSS instrument at initial visit. Subsequent URI global severity was calculated as area under the curve using an average of twice-daily WURSS-21 self-reports as the y-axis and illness duration as the x-axis. URI duration was determined by self-report of beginning and end of illness. Linear regression analysis was used to correlate baseline predictions with subsequent outcomes. Analyses by gender, age and income were also performed.

resultsThere was no significant association between participant and clinician predictions of severity or duration. Initial WURSS values explained 0.119 (95% CI: 0.074-0.163) of the variance in subsequent severity outcomes. There were no significant differences in associations by age, gender or income.

conclusionsClinicians should not use their predictive assessments or their patients' predictions when advising patients on the expected course of a URI. This study also suggests that the WURSS instrument could give some predictive information, but whether this is clinically useful is uncertain.

Indexed as

Patient ParticipationPrimary Health CareRespiratory Tract InfectionsAdultCritical PathwaysData Interpretation, StatisticalEvidence-Based MedicineFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPatient AcuityPatient-Centered CarePrognosisRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicSickness Impact ProfileDecision makingevidence-based medicinefamily practicepatient-centered careprognosisupper respiratory tract infections.

Identifiers

PMID23515376
PMCPMC3722504
OpenAlexW2120899814

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.