Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23509874›Full record

ArticleLiver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver2013

Liver fibrosis staging through a stepwise analysis of non-invasive markers (FibroSteps) in patients with chronic hepatitis C infection.

Samer S El-Kamary, Mona M Mohamed, Maissa El-Raziky, Michelle D Shardell, Olfat G Shaker, Wafaa A ElAkel, Gamal Esmat

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

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0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Samer S El-KamaryDepartment of Epidemiology and Public Health, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA. selkamar@epi.umaryland.edu
Mona M Mohamed
Maissa El-Raziky
Michelle D Shardell
Olfat G Shaker
Wafaa A ElAkel
Gamal Esmat

Funding

Statistical Methods to Correct for Proxy Bias in Studies of Older AdultsK25AG034216 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND BALTIMORE · PI SHARDELL, MICHELLE DENISE · 2011 to 2013
$401k
NIA NIH HHS K25 AG034216NIA NIH HHS K25-AG034216-02
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundNon-invasive fibrosis markers can distinguish between liver fibrosis stages in lieu of liver biopsy or imaging elastography.

aimsTo develop a sensitive, non-invasive, freely-available algorithm that differentiates between individual liver fibrosis stages in chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) patients.

methodsChronic HCV patients (n = 355) at Cairo University Hospital, Egypt, with liver biopsy to determine fibrosis stage (METAVIR), were tested for preselected fibrosis markers. A novel multistage stepwise fibrosis classification algorithm (FibroSteps) was developed using random forest analysis for biomarker selection, and logistic regression for modelling. FibroSteps predicted fibrosis stage using four steps: Step 1 distinguished no(F0)/mild fibrosis(F1) vs. moderate(F2)/severe fibrosis(F3)/cirrhosis(F4); Step 2a distinguished F0 vs. F1; Step 2b distinguished F2 vs. F3/F4; and Step 3 distinguished F3 vs. F4. FibroSteps was developed using a randomly-selected training set (n = 234) and evaluated using the remaining patients (n = 118) as a validation set.

resultsHyaluronic Acid, TGF-β1, α2-macroglobulin, MMP-2, Apolipoprotein-A1, Urea, MMP-1, alpha-fetoprotein, haptoglobin, RBCs, haemoglobin and TIMP-1 were selected into the models, which had areas under the receiver operating curve (AUC) of 0.973, 0.923 (Step 1); 0.943, 0.872 (Step 2a); 0.916, 0.883 (Step 2b) and 0.944, 0.946 (Step 3), in the training and validation sets respectively. The final classification had accuracies of 94.9% (95% CI: 91.3-97.4%) and 89.8% (95% CI: 82.9-94.6%) for the training and validation sets respectively.

conclusionsFibroSteps, a freely available, non-invasive liver fibrosis classification, is accurate and can assist clinicians in making prognostic and therapeutic decisions. The statistical code for FibroSteps using R software is provided in the supplementary materials.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsAdultArea Under CurveBiomarkersEgyptFemaleHepatitis CHumansLiver CirrhosisLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedModels, StatisticalPrognosisROC CurveStatistics, NonparametricBiomarkerschronic hepatitisfibrosis markershepatitis C virusliver fibrosislogistic regression

Identifiers

PMID23509874
PMCPMC3793639

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.