Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23468921›Full record

ArticlePloS one2013

The association between serum biomarkers and disease outcome in influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus infection: results of two international observational cohort studies.

Richard T Davey, Ruth Lynfield, Dominic E Dwyer, Marcello H Losso, Alessandro Cozzi-Lepri, Deborah Wentworth, H Clifford Lane, Robin Dewar, Adam Rupert, Julia A Metcalf and 8 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 49 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
49citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
2.2field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

49 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 66 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Clinical Characteristics of Stroke with COVID-19: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Journal of stroke and cerebrovascular diseases : the official journal of National Stroke Association · 2020
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  11. Anti-Influenza A Potential ofInternational journal of molecular sciences · 2024
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  19. Respiratory viruses: their importance and lessons learned from COVID-19.European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2022
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors at 13 institutions in 5 countries.

Richard T DaveyNational Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland, USA. rdavey@niaid.nih.gov
Ruth Lynfield
Dominic E Dwyer
Marcello H Losso
Alessandro Cozzi-Lepri
Deborah Wentworth
H Clifford Lane
Robin Dewar
Adam Rupert
Julia A Metcalf
Sarah L Pett
Timothy M Uyeki
Jose Maria Bruguera
Brian Angus
Nathan Cummins
Jens Lundgren
James D Neaton
INSIGHT FLU 002 & 003 Study Groups
Hospital Ramos Mejía · ARNational Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases · USScience Applications International Corporation (United States) · USUniversity of Minnesota · USCenters for Disease Control and Prevention · USMayo Clinic · USMinnesota Department of Health · USNational Institutes of Health · USRigshospitalet · DKUniversity College London · GBUniversity of Oxford · GBUNSW Sydney · AUWestmead Hospital · AU

Funding

International Network for Strategic Initiatives in Global HIV Trials (INSIGHT)U01AI068641 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI NEATON, JAMES DENNIS · 2006 to 2010
$120.1M
Influenza and Emerging Infectious DiseasesZIAAI000984 · NIAID · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ALLERGY AND INFECTIOUS DISEASES · PI DAVEY, RICHARD · 2009 to 2025
$44.1M
Pathogenesis, Treatment and Prevention of Emerging Infectious DiseasesZIAAI000936 · NIAID · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ALLERGY AND INFECTIOUS DISEASES · PI LANE, CLIFFORD · 2009 to 2025
$6.4M
CCR NIH HHS HHSN261200800001CMedical Research Council MC_U122886352Medical Research Council MC_UU_12023/16NCI NIH HHS HHSN261200800001ENIAID NIH HHS U01 AI068641NIAID NIH HHS UOI-AI068641
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundProspective studies establishing the temporal relationship between the degree of inflammation and human influenza disease progression are scarce. To assess predictors of disease progression among patients with influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 infection, 25 inflammatory biomarkers measured at enrollment were analyzed in two international observational cohort studies.

methodsAmong patients with RT-PCR-confirmed influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus infection, odds ratios (ORs) estimated by logistic regression were used to summarize the associations of biomarkers measured at enrollment with worsened disease outcome or death after 14 days of follow-up for those seeking outpatient care (FLU 002) or after 60 days for those hospitalized with influenza complications (FLU 003). Biomarkers that were significantly associated with progression in both studies (p<0.05) or only in one (p<0.002 after Bonferroni correction) were identified.

resultsIn FLU 002 28/528 (5.3%) outpatients had influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus infection that progressed to a study endpoint of complications, hospitalization or death, whereas in FLU 003 28/170 (16.5%) inpatients enrolled from the general ward and 21/39 (53.8%) inpatients enrolled directly from the ICU experienced disease progression. Higher levels of 12 of the 25 markers were significantly associated with subsequent disease progression. Of these, 7 markers (IL-6, CD163, IL-10, LBP, IL-2, MCP-1, and IP-10), all with ORs for the 3(rd) versus 1(st) tertile of 2.5 or greater, were significant (p<0.05) in both outpatients and inpatients. In contrast, five markers (sICAM-1, IL-8, TNF-α, D-dimer, and sVCAM-1), all with ORs for the 3(rd) versus 1(st) tertile greater than 3.2, were significantly (p≤.002) associated with disease progression among hospitalized patients only.

conclusionsIn patients presenting with varying severities of influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus infection, a baseline elevation in several biomarkers associated with inflammation, coagulation, or immune function strongly predicted a higher risk of disease progression. It is conceivable that interventions designed to abrogate these baseline elevations might affect disease outcome.

Indexed as

Influenza A Virus, H1N1 SubtypeAdultBiomarkersCohort StudiesCytokinesDisease ProgressionFemaleHumansInflammation MediatorsInfluenza, HumanMaleMiddle AgedOdds RatioPrognosisYoung AdultBiomarkersCytokinesInflammation Mediators

Identifiers

PMID23468921
PMCPMC3584122
OpenAlexW2126911031

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.