Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23447576›Full record

ArticleCancer research2013

Spreaders and sponges define metastasis in lung cancer: a Markov chain Monte Carlo mathematical model.

Paul K Newton, Jeremy Mason, Kelly Bethel, Lyudmila Bazhenova, Jorge Nieva, Larry Norton, Peter Kuhn

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer research, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 44 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
44citing papers in PubMed
5.0field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

44 citing papers in PubMed, 91 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Mechanistic learning to predict and understand minimal residual disease.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026
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  6. Reuniting philosophy and science to advance cancer research.Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society · 2023
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  15. Modeling the Onset of Symptoms of COVID-19.Frontiers in public health · 2020
    Article
  16. Circulating Tumor Cells: High-Throughput Imaging of CTCs and Bioinformatic Analysis.Recent results in cancer research. Fortschritte der Krebsforschung. Progres dans les recherches sur le cancer · 2020
    Review
  17. Article
  18. Consecutive seeding and transfer of genetic diversity in metastasis.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2019
    Article
  19. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

Paul K NewtonDepartment of Aerospace & Mechanical Engineering, Viterbi School of Engineering, University of Southern California, Los Angles 90089, USA. newton@usc.edu
Jeremy Mason
Kelly Bethel
Lyudmila Bazhenova
Jorge Nieva
Larry Norton
Peter Kuhn
Billings Clinic · USMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center · USMoores Cancer CenterScripps Research Institute · USUniversity of Southern California · US

Funding

TopologyU54CA143906 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI KUHN, PETER · 2009 to 2014
$10.2M
NCI NIH HHS U54 CA143906
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The classic view of metastatic cancer progression is that it is a unidirectional process initiated at the primary tumor site, progressing to variably distant metastatic sites in a fairly predictable, although not perfectly understood, fashion. A Markov chain Monte Carlo mathematical approach can determine a pathway diagram that classifies metastatic tumors as "spreaders" or "sponges" and orders the timescales of progression from site to site. In light of recent experimental evidence highlighting the potential significance of self-seeding of primary tumors, we use a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach, based on large autopsy data sets, to quantify the stochastic, systemic, and often multidirectional aspects of cancer progression. We quantify three types of multidirectional mechanisms of progression: (i) self-seeding of the primary tumor, (ii) reseeding of the primary tumor from a metastatic site (primary reseeding), and (iii) reseeding of metastatic tumors (metastasis reseeding). The model shows that the combined characteristics of the primary and the first metastatic site to which it spreads largely determine the future pathways and timescales of systemic disease.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsAutopsyDisease ProgressionHumansLung NeoplasmsMarkov ChainsMedical OncologyModels, TheoreticalMonte Carlo MethodNeoplasm MetastasisNeoplasms

Identifiers

PMID23447576
PMCPMC3644026
OpenAlexW2150508753

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.