Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23446317›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2013

Inferring patient to patient transmission of Mycobacterium tuberculosis from whole genome sequencing data.

Josephine M Bryant, Anita C Schürch, Henk van Deutekom, Simon R Harris, Jessica L de Beer, Victor de Jager, Kristin Kremer, Sacha A F T van Hijum, Roland J Siezen, Martien Borgdorff and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 122 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
122citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

122 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. ClinicalFrontiers in microbiology · 2025
    Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
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  5. Trial
  6. Article
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  8. Long-term refined genomic analysis of tuberculosis clusters to distinguish between ongoing transmission, reactivations or diagnostic delays, Almería, Spain, 2003 to 2024.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2026
    Article
  9. Article
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  12. UShER-TB: Scalable, Comprehensive, Accessible Phylogenomic Analysis ofmedRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Whole-Genome sequencing in routineMicrobial genomics · 2024
    Article
  18. Article
  19. InvestigatingMicrobiology spectrum · 2023
    Article
  20. Article

62 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Josephine M Bryant
Anita C Schürch
Henk van Deutekom
Simon R Harris
Jessica L de Beer
Victor de Jager
Kristin Kremer
Sacha A F T van Hijum
Roland J Siezen
Martien Borgdorff
Stephen D Bentley
Julian Parkhill
Dick van Soolingen

Funding

Medical Research CouncilWellcome Trust 098051
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMycobacterium tuberculosis is characterised by limited genomic diversity, which makes the application of whole genome sequencing particularly attractive for clinical and epidemiological investigation. However, in order to confidently infer transmission events, an accurate knowledge of the rate of change in the genome over relevant timescales is required.

methodsWe attempted to estimate a molecular clock by sequencing 199 isolates from epidemiologically linked tuberculosis cases, collected in the Netherlands spanning almost 16 years.

resultsMultiple analyses support an average mutation rate of ~0.3 SNPs per genome per year. However, all analyses revealed a very high degree of variation around this mean, making the confirmation of links proposed by epidemiology, and inference of novel links, difficult. Despite this, in some cases, the phylogenetic context of other strains provided evidence supporting the confident exclusion of previously inferred epidemiological links.

conclusionsThis in-depth analysis of the molecular clock revealed that it is slow and variable over short time scales, which limits its usefulness in transmission studies. However, the superior resolution of whole genome sequencing can provide the phylogenetic context to allow the confident exclusion of possible transmission events previously inferred via traditional DNA fingerprinting techniques and epidemiological cluster investigation. Despite the slow generation of variation even at the whole genome level we conclude that the investigation of tuberculosis transmission will benefit greatly from routine whole genome sequencing.

Indexed as

Genome, BacterialPhylogenyHigh-Throughput Nucleotide SequencingHumansMutation RateMycobacterium tuberculosisNetherlandsPolymorphism, Single NucleotideTime FactorsTuberculosis, Pulmonary

Identifiers

PMID23446317
PMCPMC3599118

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.