Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23430018›Full record

ArticleIntensive care medicine2013

Mortality prediction models for pediatric intensive care: comparison of overall and subgroup specific performance.

Idse H E Visser, Jan A Hazelzet, Marcel J I J Albers, Carin W M Verlaat, Karin Hogenbirk, Job B van Woensel, Marc van Heerde, Dick A van Waardenburg, Nicolaas J G Jansen, Ewout W Steyerberg

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Article in Intensive care medicine, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
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19citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed.

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  15. Pattern of in-hospital pediatric mortality over a 3-year period at University teaching hospitals in Iran.Indian journal of critical care medicine : peer-reviewed, official publication of Indian Society of Critical Care Medicine · 2015
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Idse H E VisserDepartment of Pediatrics, Erasmus MC, Sophia Children's Hospital, Rotterdam, The Netherlands. i.visser@erasmusmc.nl
Jan A Hazelzet
Marcel J I J Albers
Carin W M Verlaat
Karin Hogenbirk
Job B van Woensel
Marc van Heerde
Dick A van Waardenburg
Nicolaas J G Jansen
Ewout W Steyerberg

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimTo validate paediatric index of mortality (PIM) and pediatric risk of mortality (PRISM) models within the overall population as well as in specific subgroups in pediatric intensive care units (PICUs).

methodsVariants of PIM and PRISM prediction models were compared with respect to calibration (agreement between predicted risks and observed mortality) and discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, AUC). We considered performance in the overall study population and in subgroups, defined by diagnoses, age and urgency at admission, and length of stay (LoS) at the PICU. We analyzed data from consecutive patients younger than 16 years admitted to the eight PICUs in the Netherlands between February 2006 and October 2009. Patients referred to another ICU or deceased within 2 h after admission were excluded.

resultsA total of 12,040 admissions were included, with 412 deaths. Variants of PIM2 were best calibrated. All models discriminated well, also in patients <28 days of age (neonates), with overall higher AUC for PRISM variants (PIM = 0.83, PIM2 = 0.85, PIM2-ANZ06 = 0.86, PIM2-ANZ08 = 0.85, PRISM = 0.88, PRISM3-24 = 0.90). Best discrimination for PRISM3-24 was confirmed in 13 out of 14 subgroup categories. After recalibration PRISM3-24 predicted accurately in most (12 out of 14) categories. Discrimination was poorer for all models (AUC < 0.73) after LoS of >6 days at the PICU.

conclusionAll models discriminated well, also in most subgroups including neonates, but had difficulties predicting mortality for patients >6 days at the PICU. In a western European setting both the PIM2(-ANZ06) or a recalibrated version of PRISM3-24 are suited for overall individualized risk prediction.

Indexed as

Hospital MortalityIntensive Care Units, PediatricAdolescentArea Under CurveBenchmarkingCalibrationChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansInfantInfant, NewbornLength of StayMaleNetherlandsPoisson Distribution

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.