Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23424288›Full record

SynthesisPLoS medicine2013

Use of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs that elevate cardiovascular risk: an examination of sales and essential medicines lists in low-, middle-, and high-income countries.

Patricia McGettigan, David Henry

Open access · goldAbstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in PLoS medicine, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 104 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
104citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
27.8field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

104 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 406 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Diclofenac for acute postoperative pain in children.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2023
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  12. C(spMedicinal chemistry research : an international journal for rapid communications on design and mechanisms of action of biologically active agents · 2026
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  14. Comparative Profiling ofFood science & nutrition · 2026
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Mechanisms of transport and analgesic compounds recognition by glycine transporter 2.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  17. Review
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  20. Article

44 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors at 2 institutions in 3 countries.

Patricia McGettiganWilliam Harvey Research Institute, Barts and The London School of Medicine and Dentistry, London, United Kingdom.
David Henry
Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences · CAWilliam Harvey Research Institute · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCertain non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) (e.g., rofecoxib [Vioxx]) increase the risk of heart attack and stroke and should be avoided in patients at high risk of cardiovascular events. Rates of cardiovascular disease are high and rising in many low- and middle-income countries. We studied the extent to which evidence on cardiovascular risk with NSAIDs has translated into guidance and sales in 15 countries. METHODS AND

findingsData on the relative risk (RR) of cardiovascular events with individual NSAIDs were derived from meta-analyses of randomised trials and controlled observational studies. Listing of individual NSAIDs on Essential Medicines Lists (EMLs) was obtained from the World Health Organization. NSAID sales or prescription data for 15 low-, middle-, and high-income countries were obtained from Intercontinental Medical Statistics Health (IMS Health) or national prescription pricing audit (in the case of England and Canada). Three drugs (rofecoxib, diclofenac, etoricoxib) ranked consistently highest in terms of cardiovascular risk compared with nonuse. Naproxen was associated with a low risk. Diclofenac was listed on 74 national EMLs, naproxen on just 27. Rofecoxib use was not documented in any country. Diclofenac and etoricoxib accounted for one-third of total NSAID usage across the 15 countries (median 33.2%, range 14.7-58.7%). This proportion did not vary between low- and high-income countries. Diclofenac was by far the most commonly used NSAID, with a market share close to that of the next three most popular drugs combined. Naproxen had an average market share of less than 10%.

conclusionsListing of NSAIDs on national EMLs should take account of cardiovascular risk, with preference given to low risk drugs. Diclofenac has a risk very similar to rofecoxib, which was withdrawn from worldwide markets owing to cardiovascular toxicity. Diclofenac should be removed from EMLs.

Indexed as

Drug CostsPharmacopoeias as TopicAnti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-SteroidalCardiovascular DiseasesCommerceDeveloped CountriesDeveloping CountriesDrug IndustryDrugs, EssentialEvidence-Based MedicineHumansPatient SafetyPatient SelectionPractice Patterns, Physicians'Randomized Controlled Trials as TopicRisk AssessmentAnti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-SteroidalDrugs, Essential

Identifiers

PMID23424288
PMCPMC3570554
OpenAlexW1990165855

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.