Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23420840›Full record

ArticleMolecular biology and evolution2013

FUBAR: a fast, unconstrained bayesian approximation for inferring selection.

Ben Murrell, Sasha Moola, Amandla Mabona, Thomas Weighill, Daniel Sheward, Sergei L Kosakovsky Pond, Konrad Scheffler

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Molecular biology and evolution, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 859 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
859citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

859 citing papers in PubMed.

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799 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Ben MurrellDepartment of Mathematical Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa.
Sasha Moola
Amandla Mabona
Thomas Weighill
Daniel Sheward
Sergei L Kosakovsky Pond
Konrad Scheffler

Funding

Transmission ProbabilityP01AI074621 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI LITTLE, SUSAN JANET · 2008 to 2012
$23.1M
Biomathematical analysis of viral dynamics/evolutionR01AI047745 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI RICHMAN, DOUGLAS D · 2001 to 2011
$3.2M
HyPhy: Molecular Evolutionary AnalysesR01GM093939 · NIGMS · TEMPLE UNIV OF THE COMMONWEALTH · PI MUSE, SPENCER V., POND, SERGEI L KOSAKOVSKY · 2010 to 2018
$2.5M
Modeling HIV Escape from Neutralizing Antibody ResponesR01AI057167 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI FROST, SIMON DAVID WILLIAM · 2004 to 2008
$1.2M
Biomathematical Analysis of Viral Dynamics and EvolutionR56AI047745 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI POND, SERGEI L KOSAKOVSKY · 2012 to 2012
$365k
BIOMATHEMATICAL ANALYSIS OF VIRAL DYNAMICS AND EVOLUTIONR21AI047745 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA SAN DIEGO · PI RICHMAN, DOUGLAS D · 2000 to 2000
$308k
NIAID NIH HHS AI47745NIAID NIH HHS AI57167NIAID NIH HHS AI74621NIAID NIH HHS P01 AI074621NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI047745NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI057167NIAID NIH HHS R21 AI047745NIAID NIH HHS R56 AI047745NIGMS NIH HHS GM093939NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM093939
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Model-based analyses of natural selection often categorize sites into a relatively small number of site classes. Forcing each site to belong to one of these classes places unrealistic constraints on the distribution of selection parameters, which can result in misleading inference due to model misspecification. We present an approximate hierarchical Bayesian method using a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) routine that ensures robustness against model misspecification by averaging over a large number of predefined site classes. This leaves the distribution of selection parameters essentially unconstrained, and also allows sites experiencing positive and purifying selection to be identified orders of magnitude faster than by existing methods. We demonstrate that popular random effects likelihood methods can produce misleading results when sites assigned to the same site class experience different levels of positive or purifying selection--an unavoidable scenario when using a small number of site classes. Our Fast Unconstrained Bayesian AppRoximation (FUBAR) is unaffected by this problem, while achieving higher power than existing unconstrained (fixed effects likelihood) methods. The speed advantage of FUBAR allows us to analyze larger data sets than other methods: We illustrate this on a large influenza hemagglutinin data set (3,142 sequences). FUBAR is available as a batch file within the latest HyPhy distribution (http://www.hyphy.org), as well as on the Datamonkey web server (http://www.datamonkey.org/).

Indexed as

AlgorithmsBayes TheoremMarkov ChainsPhylogenySelection, Genetic

Identifiers

PMID23420840
PMCPMC3670733

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.