ReviewJournal of the International AIDS Society2013
Measuring and modelling concurrency.
Review in Journal of the International AIDS Society, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- The Global Epidemiology of Syphilis in the Past Century - A Systematic Review Based on Antenatal Syphilis Prevalence.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2016Pooled it
- Sexual Concurrency Among Adolescent Women With Multiple Partners: A Daily Diary Study.The Journal of adolescent health : official publication of the Society for Adolescent Medicine · 2022Article
- Concurrency measures in the era of temporal network epidemiology: a review.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2021Review
- Exploring HIV risks, testing and prevention among sub-Saharan African community members in Australia.International journal for equity in health · 2018Article
- Couple serostatus patterns in sub-Saharan Africa illuminate the relative roles of transmission rates and sexual network characteristics in HIV epidemiology.Scientific reports · 2018Article
- Concurrency and other sexual partnership patterns reported in a survey of young people in rural Northern Tanzania.PloS one · 2017Article
- A practical online tool to estimate antiretroviral coverage for HIV infected and susceptible populations needed to reduce local HIV epidemics.Scientific reports · 2016Article
- Interdependent effects of cohesion and concurrency for epidemic potential.Annals of epidemiology · 2016Article
- Article
- Migration, Multiple Sexual Partnerships, and Sexual Concurrency in the Garífuna Population of Honduras.AIDS and behavior · 2015Article
- Partner age differences and concurrency in South Africa: Implications for HIV-infection risk among young women.AIDS and behavior · 2014Article
- A new approach to measuring partnership concurrency and its association with HIV risk in couples.AIDS and behavior · 2014Article
- Global HIV epidemiology: A guide for strategies in prevention and care.Current HIV/AIDS reports · 2014Article
- A cross-sectional survey of prevalence and correlates of couple sexual concurrency among married couples in fishing communities along Lake Victoria in Kisumu, Kenya.Sexually transmitted infections · 2014Article
- Partnership concurrency and coital frequency.AIDS and behavior · 2013Article
- Conflicting Views in Narratives on HIV Transmission via Medical Care.Journal of the International Association of Providers of AIDS CareArticle
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
1 author.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
This article explores three critical topics discussed in the recent debate over concurrency (overlapping sexual partnerships): measurement of the prevalence of concurrency, mathematical modelling of concurrency and HIV epidemic dynamics, and measuring the correlation between HIV and concurrency. The focus of the article is the concurrency hypothesis - the proposition that presumed high prevalence of concurrency explains sub-Saharan Africa's exceptionally high HIV prevalence. Recent surveys using improved questionnaire design show reported concurrency ranging from 0.8% to 7.6% in the region. Even after adjusting for plausible levels of reporting errors, appropriately parameterized sexual network models of HIV epidemics do not generate sustainable epidemic trajectories (avoid epidemic extinction) at levels of concurrency found in recent surveys in sub-Saharan Africa. Efforts to support the concurrency hypothesis with a statistical correlation between HIV incidence and concurrency prevalence are not yet successful. Two decades of efforts to find evidence in support of the concurrency hypothesis have failed to build a convincing case.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.