ReviewPLoS medicine2013
Prognosis Research Strategy (PROGRESS) 3: prognostic model research.
Review in PLoS medicine, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 2 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 722 papers, 27 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Multi-centre Assessment of Existing Pre-operative Risk Assessment Tools for Predicting Surgical Site Infection After Cardiac Surgery
External Validation of Two Prediction Models for Independent Gait After Stroke
Who cites it
722 citing papers in PubMed, 27 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Assisted Reproductive Technology as Predictor for Preeclampsia: A Systematic Review of Current Clinical Prediction Models.Reproductive sciences (Thousand Oaks, Calif.) · 2026Pooled it
- Prognostic Factors Associated with Pneumonia in Patients with Traumatic Brain Injury: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.Neurocritical care · 2026Pooled it
- Pooled it
- Risk Prediction Models for Delayed Bleeding After Endoscopic Submucosal Dissection in Patients with Early Gastric Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Journal of gastrointestinal cancer · 2026Pooled it
- Artificial intelligence-enabled electrocardiography to predict impending episodes of ventricular tachycardia in individuals under continuous heart rhythm monitoring.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2026Pooled it
- Predicting Work Disability Related to Spinal Pain: A Systematic Review of the Most Clinically Relevant Tools.Journal of occupational rehabilitation · 2026Pooled it
- Prognostic models for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in type 2 diabetes: Systematic review.Diabetic medicine : a journal of the British Diabetic Association · 2026Pooled it
- A Core Outcome Set to evaluate the impact of prognostication in people living with advanced cancer: An international consensus study.PloS one · 2026Pooled it
- Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning-based prediction of tuberculosis treatment failure: A systematic review and meta-analysis.PloS one · 2026Pooled it
- Risk prediction models for delirium in ICU patients: a systematic review and critical appraisal.BMC anesthesiology · 2025Pooled it
- Prediction models for self-harm and suicide: a systematic review and critical appraisal.BMC medicine · 2025Pooled it
- Facilitators and Barriers of the Use of Prognostic Models for Clinical Decision Making in Acute Neurologic Care: A Systematic Review.Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making · 2025Pooled it
- Number of Publications on New Clinical Prediction Models: A Bibliometric Review.JMIR medical informatics · 2025Pooled it
- Frailty and outcomes in adults undergoing systemic anticancer treatment: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Journal of the National Cancer Institute · 2025Pooled it
- Pancreatic Cancer Risk Assessment Tools in Primary Care: A Mixed Methods Systematic Review.Journal of gastrointestinal cancer · 2025Pooled it
- Prognostic Factors and Models for Predicting Work Absence in Adults with Musculoskeletal Conditions Consulting a Healthcare Practitioner: A Systematic Review.Journal of occupational rehabilitation · 2025Pooled it
- Pooled it
- Prognostic models for survival predictions in advanced cancer patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis.BMC palliative care · 2025Pooled it
- Machine learning algorithms for predicting PTSD: a systematic review and meta-analysis.BMC medical informatics and decision making · 2025Pooled it
- Machine learning-based risk predictive models for diabetic kidney disease in type 2 diabetes mellitus patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Frontiers in endocrinology · 2025Pooled it
662 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
10 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Prognostic models are abundant in the medical literature yet their use in practice seems limited. In this article, the third in the PROGRESS series, the authors review how such models are developed and validated, and then address how prognostic models are assessed for their impact on practice and patient outcomes, illustrating these ideas with examples.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.