Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23385106›Full record

ArticleCritical care medicine2013

Dynamic data during hypotensive episode improves mortality predictions among patients with sepsis and hypotension.

Louis Mayaud, Peggy S Lai, Gari D Clifford, Lionel Tarassenko, Leo Anthony Celi, Djillali Annane

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Critical care medicine, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 31 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
31citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

31 citing papers in PubMed.

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  10. Leveraging hybrid biomarkers in clinical endpoint prediction.BMC medical informatics and decision making · 2020
    Article
  11. Review
  12. Precision medicine in anesthesiology.International anesthesiology clinics · 2020
    Article
  13. Applying machine learning to continuously monitored physiological data.Journal of clinical monitoring and computing · 2019
    Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Observational
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Louis MayaudInstitute of Biomedical Engineering, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom. louis.mayaud@eng.ox.ac.uk
Peggy S Lai
Gari D Clifford
Lionel Tarassenko
Leo Anthony Celi
Djillali Annane

Funding

Integrating Data, Models, and Reasoning in Critical CareR01EB001659 · NIBIB · MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY · PI MARK, ROGER GREENWOOD · 2003 to 2012
$9.8M
Critical Care Informatics: Ethical considerations around the use and sharing of health-related dataR01EB017205 · NIBIB · MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY · PI CELI, LEO ANTHONY G, MARK, ROGER GREENWOOD · 2014 to 2021
$3.8M
Lung disease due to chronic endotoxin exposure in mouse and human modelsF32ES020082 · NIEHS · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI LAI, PEGGY SUE · 2012 to 2013
$81k
NIBIB NIH HHS 2R01 EB001659NIBIB NIH HHS R01 EB001659NIBIB NIH HHS R01 EB017205NIEHS NIH HHS F32 ES020082
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo determine if a prediction rule for hospital mortality using dynamic variables in response to treatment of hypotension in patients with sepsis performs better than current models.

designRetrospective cohort study.

settingAll ICUs at a tertiary care hospital. PATIENTS: Adult patients admitted to ICUs between 2001 and 2007 of whom 2,113 met inclusion criteria and had sufficient data.

interventionsNone. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN

resultsWe developed a prediction algorithm for hospital mortality in patients with sepsis and hypotension requiring medical intervention using data from the Multiparameter Intelligent Monitoring in Intensive Care II. We extracted 189 candidate variables, including treatments, physiologic variables and laboratory values collected before, during, and after a hypotensive episode. Thirty predictors were identified using a genetic algorithm on a training set (n=1500) and validated with a logistic regression model on an independent validation set (n=613). The final prediction algorithm used included dynamic information and had good discrimination (area under the receiver operating curve=82.0%) and calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow C statistic=10.43, p=0.06). This model was compared with Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation IV using reclassification indices and was found to be superior with an Net Reclassification Improvement of 0.19 (p<0.001) and an Integrated Discrimination Improvement of 0.09 (p<0.001).

conclusionsHospital mortality predictions based on dynamic variables surrounding a hypotensive event is a new approach to predicting prognosis. A model using these variables has good discrimination and calibration and offers additional predictive prognostic information beyond established ones.

Indexed as

Intensive Care UnitsAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAlgorithmsCohort StudiesComorbidityCritical IllnessFemaleHospital MortalityHumansHypotensionMaleMiddle AgedOutcome Assessment, Health CarePredictive Value of Tests

Identifiers

PMID23385106
PMCPMC3609896

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.