Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23355120›Full record

ArticleHealth care management science2013

Predicting 30-day all-cause hospital readmissions.

Mollie Shulan, Kelly Gao, Crystal Dea Moore

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Health care management science, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 37 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
37citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

37 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  14. Prevalence, Reasons, and Predisposing Factors Associated with 30-day Hospital Readmissions in Poland.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2019
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  20. Nonadherence to CPAP Associated With Increased 30-Day Hospital Readmissions.Journal of clinical sleep medicine : JCSM : official publication of the American Academy of Sleep Medicine · 2018
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Mollie ShulanDepartment of Veterans Affairs, Stratton VA Medical Center, Albany, NY, USA. mollie.shulan@va.gov
Kelly Gao
Crystal Dea Moore

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Hospital readmission rate has been broadly accepted as a quality measure and cost driver. However, success in reducing readmissions has been elusive. In the US, almost 20 % of Medicare inpatients are rehospitalized within 30 days, which amounts to a cost of $17 billion. Given the skyrocketing healthcare cost, policymakers, researchers and payers are focusing more than ever on readmission reduction. Both hospital comparison of readmissions as a quality measure and identification of high-risk patients for post-discharge interventions require accurate predictive modeling. However, most predictive models for readmissions perform poorly. In this study, we endeavored to explore the full potentials of predictive models for readmissions and to assess the predictive power of different independent variables. Our model reached the highest predicting ability (c-statistic =0.80) among all published studies that used administrative data. Our analyses reveal that demographics, socioeconomic variables, prior utilization and Diagnosis-related Group (DRG) all have limited predictive power; more sophisticated patient stratification algorithm or risk adjuster is desired for more accurate readmission predictions.

Indexed as

Logistic ModelsAgedFemaleForecastingHumansMalePatient ReadmissionRisk AssessmentROC CurveUnited States

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.