Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23346225›Full record

ArticleEvolutionary applications2012

Natural selection in utero induced by mass layoffs: the hCG evidence.

Ralph Catalano, Claire Margerison-Zilko, Sidra Goldman-Mellor, Michelle Pearl, Elizabeth Anderson, Katherine Saxton, Tim Bruckner, Meenakshi Subbaraman, Julia Goodman, Mollie Epstein and 2 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Evolutionary applications, 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
6.9field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 19 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Cohort SelectionCancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2021
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Ralph CatalanoSchool of Public Health, University of California Berkeley, CA, USA.
Claire Margerison-Zilko
Sidra Goldman-Mellor
Michelle Pearl
Elizabeth Anderson
Katherine Saxton
Tim Bruckner
Meenakshi Subbaraman
Julia Goodman
Mollie Epstein
Robert Currier
Martin Kharrazi
University of California, Berkeley · USCalifornia Department of Public Health · USBerkeley Public Health Division · USUniversity of California, Irvine · US

Funding

INTERDISCIPLINARY TRAINING IN DEMOGRAPHYT32HD007275 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA BERKELEY · PI FEEHAN, DENNIS MICHAEL · 1985 to 2025
$5.3M
TRAINING IN THE DEMOGRAPHY AND ECONOMICS OF AGINGT32AG000246 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA BERKELEY · PI JOSHUA R. GOLDSTEIN · 1995 to 2026
$4.6M
Socioeconomic and Neuroendocrine Determinants of Fetal Loss and Perinatal ComplicR24MH081797 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA BERKELEY · PI BOYCE, THOMAS W · 2007 to 2010
$2.8M
Berkeley Population CenterR21HD056581 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA BERKELEY · PI HOUT, MICHAEL · 2007 to 2011
$1.2M
NIA NIH HHS T32 AG000246NICHD NIH HHS R21 HD056581NICHD NIH HHS T32 HD007275NIMH NIH HHS R24 MH081797
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Evolutionary theory, when coupled with research from epidemiology, demography, and population endocrinology, suggests that contracting economies affect the fitness and health of human populations via natural selection in utero. We know, for example, that fetal death increases more among males than females when the economy unexpectedly contracts; that unexpected economic contraction predicts low secondary sex ratios; and that males from low sex ratio birth cohorts live, on average, longer than those from high sex ratio cohorts. We also know that low levels of human chorionic gonadotropin (i.e., hCG) measured in the serum of pregnant women predict fetal death. We do not, however, know whether male survivors of conception cohorts subjected to contracting economies exhibit, as theory predicts, higher hCG than those from other cohorts. We show, in 71 monthly conception cohorts including nearly two million California births, that they do. We thereby add to the literature suggesting that the economy, a phenomenon over which we collectively exercise at least some control, affects population health. Our findings imply that the effect arises via natural selection - a mechanism we largely ignore when attempting to explain, or alter, how collective choice affects our biology.

Indexed as

human chorionic gonadotropinmass layoffsselection in utero

Identifiers

PMID23346225
PMCPMC3552398
OpenAlexW1859434745

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.