ArticleMalaria journal2013
A dynamic model of some malaria-transmitting anopheline mosquitoes of the Afrotropical region. I. Model description and sensitivity analysis.
Article in Malaria journal, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 28 papers.
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28 citing papers in PubMed.
- Warming temperatures reduce lifespan and vectorial capacity of Anopheles mosquitoes in Ghana.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2026Article
- The Impact of Climatic Factors on Temporal Mosquito Distribution and Population Dynamics in an Area Targeted for Sterile Insect Technique Pilot Trials.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2024Article
- Potential persistence mechanisms of the major Anopheles gambiae species complex malaria vectors in sub-Saharan Africa: a narrative review.Malaria journal · 2023Review
- Time lag effect on malaria transmission dynamics in an Amazonian Colombian municipality and importance for early warning systems.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Climate Drivers of Malaria Transmission Seasonality and Their Relative Importance in Sub-Saharan Africa.GeoHealth · 2023Article
- Livestock, pathogens, vectors, and their environment: A causal inference-based approach to estimating the pathway-specific effect of livestock on human African trypanosomiasis risk.PLOS global public health · 2023Article
- A dynamically structured matrix population model for insect life histories observed under variable environmental conditions.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Spatial modelling for population replacement of mosquito vectors at continental scale.PLoS computational biology · 2022Article
- Remote sensing of environmental risk factors for malaria in different geographic contexts.International journal of health geographics · 2021Article
- Modelled and observed mean and seasonal relationships between climate, population density and malaria indicators in Cameroon.Malaria journal · 2019Article
- Modelling the potential of genetic control of malaria mosquitoes at national scale.BMC biology · 2019Article
- Dynamical Malaria Forecasts Are Skillful at Regional and Local Scales in Uganda up to 4 Months Ahead.GeoHealth · 2019Article
- Modelling the persistence of mosquito vectors of malaria in Burkina Faso.Malaria journal · 2018Article
- Exploring the Impact of Climate Variability on Malaria Transmission Using a Dynamic Mosquito-Human Malaria Model.The open infectious diseases journal · 2018Article
- Article
- A spatial agent-based model of Anopheles vagus for malaria epidemiology: examining the impact of vector control interventions.Malaria journal · 2017Article
- Modelling the influence of temperature and rainfall on the population dynamics of Anopheles arabiensis.Malaria journal · 2016Article
- A climate-driven mechanistic population model of Aedes albopictus with diapause.Parasites & vectors · 2016Article
- A Regional Model for Malaria Vector Developmental Habitats Evaluated Using Explicit, Pond-Resolving Surface Hydrology Simulations.PloS one · 2016Article
- Large-Scale Modelling of the Environmentally-Driven Population Dynamics of Temperate Aedes albopictus (Skuse).PloS one · 2016Article
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5 authors.
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Abstract
backgroundMost of the current biophysical models designed to address the large-scale distribution of malaria assume that transmission of the disease is independent of the vector involved. Another common assumption in these type of model is that the mortality rate of mosquitoes is constant over their life span and that their dispersion is negligible. Mosquito models are important in the prediction of malaria and hence there is a need for a realistic representation of the vectors involved.
resultsWe construct a biophysical model including two competing species, Anopheles gambiae s.s. and Anopheles arabiensis. Sensitivity analysis highlight the importance of relative humidity and mosquito size, the initial conditions and dispersion, and a rarely used parameter, the probability of finding blood. We also show that the assumption of exponential mortality of adult mosquitoes does not match the observed data, and suggest that an age dimension can overcome this problem.
conclusionsThis study highlights some of the assumptions commonly used when constructing mosquito-malaria models and presents a realistic model of An. gambiae s.s. and An. arabiensis and their interaction. This new mosquito model, OMaWa, can improve our understanding of the dynamics of these vectors, which in turn can be used to understand the dynamics of malaria.
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