Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23313932›Full record

ArticleMedical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making2013

Cost-effectiveness of adjuvant FOLFOX and 5FU/LV chemotherapy for patients with stage II colon cancer.

Mehmet U S Ayvaci, Jinghua Shi, Oguzhan Alagoz, Sam J Lubner

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed
1.7field-weighted citation impact, top 16% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 29 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Trimodal therapy vs. radical cystectomy for muscle-invasive bladder cancer: A Markov microsimulation model.Canadian Urological Association journal = Journal de l'Association des urologues du Canada · 2022
    Article
  8. Early Cost-effectiveness Analysis of Risk-Based Selection Strategies for Adjuvant Treatment in Stage II Colon Cancer: The Potential Value of Prognostic Molecular Markers.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2021
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Model-based evaluation of the cost effectiveness of 3Therapeutic advances in gastroenterology · 2020
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. US-Based Drug Cost Parameter Estimation for Economic Evaluations.Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making · 2015
    Article
  18. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Mehmet U S AyvaciInformation Systems and Operations Management, University of Texas at Dallas, Richardson, Texas (MA)
Jinghua ShiChina Minsheng Banking Corporation, Beijing, P.R. China (JS)
Oguzhan AlagozDepartment of Industrial and Systems Engineering, University of Wisconsin–Madison, Madison, Wisconsin and Department of Industrial Engineering, Bilkent University, Ankara, Turkey (OA)
Sam J LubnerCarbone Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of Wisconsin–Madison, Madison, Wisconsin (SL)
Bilkent University · TRThe University of Texas at Dallas · USUniversity of Wisconsin Carbone Cancer Center · US

Funding

Institutional Clinical and Translational Science AwardUL1TR000427 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI DREZNER, MARC KENNETH · 2012 to 2016
$32.2M
INSTITUTIONAL CTSA (UW-MADISON): CLINICAL TRIALSUL1RR025011 · NCRR · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI DREZNER, MARC KENNETH · 2007 to 2011
$29.5M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000427NCRR NIH HHS 1UL1RR025011NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR025011
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeWe evaluated the cost-effectiveness of adjuvant chemotherapy using 5-fluorouracil, leucovorin (5FU/LV), and oxaliplatin (FOLFOX) compared with 5FU/LV alone and 5FU/LV compared with observation alone for patients who had resected stage II colon cancer.

methodsWe developed 2 Markov models to represent the adjuvant chemotherapy and follow-up periods and a single Markov model to represent the observation group. We used calibration to estimate the transition probabilities among different toxicity levels. The base case considered 60-year-old patients who had undergone an uncomplicated hemicolectomy for stage II colon cancer and were medically fit to receive 6 months of adjuvant chemotherapy. We measured health outcomes in quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and estimated costs using 2007 US dollars.

resultsIn the base case, adjuvant chemotherapy of the FOLFOX regimen had an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $54,359/QALY compared with the 5FU/LV regimen, and the 5FU/LV regimen had an ICER of $14,584/QALY compared with the observation group from the third-party payer perspective. The ICER values were most sensitive to 5-year relapse probability, cost of adjuvant chemotherapy, and the discount rate for the FOLFOX arm, whereas the ICER value of 5FU/LV was most sensitive to the 5-year relapse probability, 5-year survival probability, and the relapse cost. The probabilistic sensitivity analysis indicates that the ICER of 5FU/LV is less than $50,000/QALY with a probability of 99.62%, and the ICER of FOLFOX as compared with 5FU/LV is less than $50,000/QALY and $100,000/QALY with a probability of 44.48% and 97.24%, respectively.

conclusionAlthough adjuvant chemotherapy with 5FU/LV is cost-effective at all ages for patients who have undergone an uncomplicated hemicolectomy for stage II colon cancer, FOLFOX is not likely to be cost-effective as compared with 5FU/LV.

Indexed as

Cost-Benefit AnalysisAntineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy ProtocolsChemotherapy, AdjuvantColonic NeoplasmsCombined Modality TherapyFluorouracilHumansLeucovorinMarkov ChainsOrganoplatinum CompoundsProbabilityQuality-Adjusted Life YearsSurvival RateFluorouracilLeucovorinOrganoplatinum Compoundscalibrationcolon cancercost-effectivenessMarkov modelstage II

Identifiers

PMID23313932
PMCPMC3960917
OpenAlexW2035571424

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.