Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23276221›Full record

ArticlePsychology and aging2013

Investigating terminal decline: results from a UK population-based study of aging.

Graciela Muniz-Terrera, Ardo van den Hout, Andrea M Piccinin, Fiona E Matthews, Scott M Hofer

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Psychology and aging, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.7field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 39 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Sex differences in healthy brain aging are unlikely to explain higher Alzheimer's disease prevalence in women.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Resistance and Resilience to Alzheimer's Disease.Cold Spring Harbor perspectives in medicine · 2024
    Review
  6. Terminal Decline in Physical Function in Older Adults.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2024
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Terminal decline of episodic memory and perceptual speed in a biracial population.Neuropsychology, development, and cognition. Section B, Aging, neuropsychology and cognition · 2018
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Educational attainment and motor burden in Parkinson's disease.Movement disorders : official journal of the Movement Disorder Society · 2015
    Article
  18. Mild cognitive impairment: a concept in evolution.Journal of internal medicine · 2014
    Article
  19. Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Graciela Muniz-TerreraMRC Unit for Lifelong Health and Ageing, London, UK. g.muniz@nshd.mrc.ac.uk
Ardo van den Hout
Andrea M Piccinin
Fiona E Matthews
Scott M Hofer
University of Victoria · CAMRC Biostatistics Unit · GBMRC Unit for Lifelong Health and Ageing · GBUniversity College London · GB

Funding

Study Coordination and Measurement CoreP01AG043362 · NIA · OREGON HEALTH & SCIENCE UNIVERSITY · PI HOFER, SCOTT M. · 2013 to 2017
$7.8M
Integrative Analysis of Change in Cognition and HealthR01AG026453 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF VICTORIA · PI HOFER, SCOTT M. · 2007 to 2011
$2.0M
Medical Research Council G9901400Medical Research Council MC_U105292687Medical Research Council MC_U123092720Medical Research Council UC_US_A030_0031NIA NIH HHS AG026453NIA NIH HHS P01 AG043362NIA NIH HHS R01 AG026453
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The terminal decline hypothesis states that in the proximity of death, an individual's decline in cognitive abilities accelerates. We aimed at estimating the onset of faster rate of decline in global cognition using Mini Mental State Examination (MMSE) scores from participants of the Cambridge City over 75 Cohort Study (CC75C), a U.K. population-based longitudinal study of aging where almost all participants have died. The random change point model fitted to MMSE scores structured as a function of distance to death allowed us to identify a potentially different onset of change in rate of decline before death for each individual in the sample. Differences in rate of change before and after the onset of change in rate of decline by sociodemographic variables were investigated. On average, the onset of a faster rate of change occurred about 7.7 years before death and varied across individuals. Our results show that most individuals experience a period of slight decline followed by a much sharper decline. Education, age at death, and cognitive impairment at study entry were identified as modifiers of rate of change before and after change in rate of decline. Gender differences were found in rate of decline in the final stages of life. Our study suggests that terminal decline is a heterogeneous process, with its onset varying between individuals.

Indexed as

DeathAgedAged, 80 and overAgingCognition DisordersCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMaleNeuropsychological TestsSex FactorsUnited Kingdom

Identifiers

PMID23276221
PMCPMC3692590
OpenAlexW2026984125

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.