Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23271803›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2013

Historical variations in mutation rate in an epidemic pathogen, Yersinia pestis.

Yujun Cui, Chang Yu, Yanfeng Yan, Dongfang Li, Yanjun Li, Thibaut Jombart, Lucy A Weinert, Zuyun Wang, Zhaobiao Guo, Lizhi Xu and 23 more

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 184 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
184citing papers in PubMed
14.9field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

184 citing papers in PubMed, 403 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. A refined phylochronology of the second plague pandemic in Western Eurasia.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
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  3. Article
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  5. Abundance ofPathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026
    Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Retracing the path of evolution: polymorphisms ofEmerging microbes & infections · 2025
    Article
  10. Molecular Tracing and Comparative Genomics Analysis ofPathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
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  15. Article
  16. Article
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  19. Article
  20. Review

124 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

33 authors at 11 institutions in 4 countries.

Yujun CuiState Key Laboratory of Pathogen and Biosecurity, Beijing Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology, Beijing 100071, China.
Chang Yu
Yanfeng Yan
Dongfang Li
Yanjun Li
Thibaut Jombart
Lucy A Weinert
Zuyun Wang
Zhaobiao Guo
Lizhi Xu
Yujiang Zhang
Hancheng Zheng
Nan Qin
Xiao Xiao
Mingshou Wu
Xiaoyi Wang
Dongsheng Zhou
Zhizhen Qi
Zongmin Du
Honglong Wu
Xianwei Yang
Hongzhi Cao
Hu Wang
Jing Wang
Shusen Yao
Alexander Rakin
Yingrui Li
Daniel Falush
Francois Balloux
Mark Achtman
Yajun Song
Jun Wang
Ruifu Yang
BGI Group (China) · CNInstitute of Microbiology · CNQinghai Institute for Endemic Diease Prevention and Control · CNUniversity College Cork · IEChinese Academy of Inspection and Quarantine · CNUniversity College London · GBBeijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control · CNLudwig-Maximilians-Universität München · DEMedical Research Council · GBXinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region Disease Prevention and Control Center · CNYunnan Institute of Endemic Diseases Control and Prevention · CN

Funding

European Research Council 260801
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The genetic diversity of Yersinia pestis, the etiologic agent of plague, is extremely limited because of its recent origin coupled with a slow clock rate. Here we identified 2,326 SNPs from 133 genomes of Y. pestis strains that were isolated in China and elsewhere. These SNPs define the genealogy of Y. pestis since its most recent common ancestor. All but 28 of these SNPs represented mutations that happened only once within the genealogy, and they were distributed essentially at random among individual genes. Only seven genes contained a significant excess of nonsynonymous SNP, suggesting that the fixation of SNPs mainly arises via neutral processes, such as genetic drift, rather than Darwinian selection. However, the rate of fixation varies dramatically over the genealogy: the number of SNPs accumulated by different lineages was highly variable and the genealogy contains multiple polytomies, one of which resulted in four branches near the time of the Black Death. We suggest that demographic changes can affect the speed of evolution in epidemic pathogens even in the absence of natural selection, and hypothesize that neutral SNPs are fixed rapidly during intermittent epidemics and outbreaks.

Indexed as

Evolution, MolecularGenetic DriftGenetic VariationMutation RateBase SequenceChinaGenetics, PopulationLikelihood FunctionsModels, GeneticMolecular EpidemiologyMolecular Sequence DataPhylogenyPolymorphism, Single NucleotideSequence Analysis, DNAYersinia pestis

Identifiers

PMID23271803
PMCPMC3545753
OpenAlexW2171929540

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.