Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23217051›Full record

ReviewBMC medicine2012

Modeling rapidly disseminating infectious disease during mass gatherings.

Gerardo Chowell, Hiroshi Nishiura, Cécile Viboud

Open access · goldAbstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in BMC medicine, 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.4field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 30 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 3 institutions in 4 countries.

Gerardo ChowellSchool of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, 900 S. Cady Mall, Tempe, AZ 85287-2402, USA. gchowell@asu.edu
Hiroshi Nishiura
Cécile Viboud
Fogarty International Center · USNational Institutes of Health · USUniversity of Hong Kong · HK

Funding

Modeling Anthropogenic Effects in the Spread of Infectious DiseasesR01GM100471 · NIGMS · ARIZONA STATE UNIVERSITY-TEMPE CAMPUS · PI PERRINGS, CHARLES · 2011 to 2014
$1.5M
NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM100471
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We discuss models for rapidly disseminating infectious diseases during mass gatherings (MGs), using influenza as a case study. Recent innovations in modeling and forecasting influenza transmission dynamics at local, regional, and global scales have made influenza a particularly attractive model scenario for MG. We discuss the behavioral, medical, and population factors for modeling MG disease transmission, review existing model formulations, and highlight key data and modeling gaps related to modeling MG disease transmission. We argue that the proposed improvements will help integrate infectious-disease models in MG health contingency plans in the near future, echoing modeling efforts that have helped shape influenza pandemic preparedness plans in recent years.

Indexed as

Models, BiologicalCommunicable DiseasesHumansTime Factors

Identifiers

PMID23217051
PMCPMC3532170
OpenAlexW2121293759

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.