ReviewEpidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.)2013
Modeling obesity histories in cohort analyses of health and mortality.
Review in Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.), 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 50 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
50 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Body-mass index and all-cause mortality: individual-participant-data meta-analysis of 239 prospective studies in four continents.Lancet (London, England) · 2016 · on this mapPooled it
- Trends and socio-economic inequalities in overweight- and obesity-related premature cardiovascular disease mortality in Australia.BMC medicine · 2026Article
- Analysis of intra- and postoperative interventional endoscopic measures in 3000 bariatric surgical procedures over 15 years: a single center study.Updates in surgery · 2025Article
- Pervasive stagnation: flat and increasing cardiovascular disease mortality rates after 2010 across US states and counties.American journal of epidemiology · 2025Article
- Pre-COVID-19 Geographic Inequalities in Non-Hispanic Black US Life Expectancy, 1990 to 2019.Population and development review · 2025Article
- BMI, waist circumference, and waist-to-hip trajectories and all-cause, CVD, and cancer mortality by sex in people without diabetes.International journal of obesity (2005) · 2025Article
- The Impact of Idiopathic Intracranial Hypertension on Cardiovascular Disease Risk Among UK Women: An Obesity-Adjusted Analysis.ASIDE internal medicine · 2025Article
- Trends in Memory Function and Memory Impairment Among Older Adults in the United States and Europe, 1996-2018.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2024Article
- Premature cardiovascular disease mortality with overweight and obesity as a risk factor: estimating excess mortality in the United States during the COVID-19 pandemic.International journal of obesity (2005) · 2023Article
- Weight gain is associated with shorter lifespan: a longitudinal study of New Zealand soldiers serving in both world wars.Journal of biosocial science · 2023Article
- Sources and severity of bias in estimates of the BMI-mortality association.Population studies · 2023Article
- Weight gain trajectories patterns from pregnancy to early postpartum: identifying women at risk and timing to prevent weight regain.BMC pregnancy and childbirth · 2022Article
- The mortality risk of being overweight in the twentieth century: Evidence from two cohorts of New Zealand men.Explorations in economic history · 2022Article
- Body mass index trajectories, weight gain and risks of liver and biliary tract cancers.JNCI cancer spectrum · 2022Article
- Obesity Incidence in U.S. Children and Young Adults: A Pooled Analysis.American journal of preventive medicine · 2022Article
- Association between obesity and mortality in the Costa Rican elderly: a cohort study.BMC public health · 2022Article
- Life-long body mass index trajectories and mortality in two generations.Annals of epidemiology · 2021Article
- Pathways to Educational Disparities in Disability Incidence: The Contributions of Excess Body Mass Index, Smoking, and Manual Labor Involvement.The journals of gerontology. Series B, Psychological sciences and social sciences · 2021Article
- Contributions of obesity and cigarette smoking to incident disability: A longitudinal analysis.Preventive medicine · 2020Article
- The role of overweight and obesity in adverse cardiovascular disease mortality trends: an analysis of multiple cause of death data from Australia and the USA.BMC medicine · 2020 · on this mapArticle
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
Abstract
There is great interest in understanding the role of weight dynamics over the life cycle in predicting the incidence of disease and death. Beginning with a Medline search, we identify, classify, and evaluate the major approaches that have been used to study these dynamics. We identify four types of models: additive models, duration-of-obesity models, additive-weight-change models, and interactive models. We develop a framework that integrates the major approaches and shows that they are often nested in one another, a property that facilitates statistical comparisons. Our criteria for evaluating models are two-fold: the model's interpretability and its ability to account for observed variation in health outcomes. We apply two sets of nested models to data on adults age 50-74 years at baseline in two national probability samples drawn from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. One set of models treats obesity as a dichotomous variable and the other treats it as a continuous variable. In three of four applications, a fully interactive model does not add significant explanatory power to the simple additive model. In all four applications, little explanatory power is lost by simplifying the additive model to a duration model in which the coefficients of weight at different ages are set equal to one another. Other versions of a duration-of-obesity model also perform well, underscoring the importance of obesity at early adult ages for mortality at older ages.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.