ArticlePhilosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences2013
Are species' responses to global change predicted by past niche evolution?
Article in Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers.
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Who cites it
27 citing papers in PubMed.
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- Can Macroevolution Inform Contemporary Extinction Risk?Ecology letters · 2025Review
- Temperature dependence of liverwort diversification reveals a cool origin and hot hotspots.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Exploring the Climatic Niche Evolution of the GenusBiology · 2024Article
- Ecological generalism and physiology mediate fish biogeographic ranges under ocean warming.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2024Article
- The importance of considering the duration of extreme temperatures when investigating responses to climate change.Global change biology · 2022Article
- Bird lineages colonizing urban habitats have diversified at high rates across deep time.Global ecology and biogeography : a journal of macroecology · 2022Article
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- Fossil-Informed Models Reveal a Boreotropical Origin and Divergent Evolutionary Trajectories in the Walnut Family (Juglandaceae).Systematic biology · 2021Article
- Climate-induced range shifts shaped the present and threaten the future genetic variability of a marine brown alga in the Northwest Pacific.Evolutionary applications · 2021Article
- The legacy of Eastern Mediterranean mountain uplifts: rapid disparity of phylogenetic niche conservatism and divergence in mountain vipers.BMC ecology and evolution · 2021Article
- Thermal niches of planktonic foraminifera are static throughout glacial-interglacial climate change.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2021Article
- Vulnerability to Fishing and Life History Traits Correlate with the Load of Deleterious Mutations in Teleosts.Molecular biology and evolution · 2020Article
- Evolutionary diversity in tropical tree communities peaks at intermediate precipitation.Scientific reports · 2020Article
- Ecological Factors Generally Not Altitude Related Played Main Roles in Driving Potential Adaptive Evolution at Elevational Range Margin Populations of Taiwan Incense Cedar (Frontiers in genetics · 2020Article
- Article
- Contrasting responses to a climate regime change by sympatric, ice-dependent predators.BMC evolutionary biology · 2016Article
- Why evolution matters for species conservation: perspectives from three case studies of plant metapopulations.Evolutionary applications · 2016Review
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
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Abstract
Predicting how and when adaptive evolution might rescue species from global change, and integrating this process into tools of biodiversity forecasting, has now become an urgent task. Here, we explored whether recent population trends of species can be explained by their past rate of niche evolution, which can be inferred from increasingly available phylogenetic and niche data. We examined the assemblage of 409 European bird species for which estimates of demographic trends between 1970 and 2000 are available, along with a species-level phylogeny and data on climatic, habitat and trophic niches. We found that species' proneness to demographic decline is associated with slow evolution of the habitat niche in the past, in addition to certain current-day life-history and ecological traits. A similar result was found at a higher taxonomic level, where families prone to decline have had a history of slower evolution of climatic and habitat niches. Our results support the view that niche conservatism can prevent some species from coping with environmental change. Thus, linking patterns of past niche evolution and contemporary species dynamics for large species samples may provide insights into how niche evolution may rescue certain lineages in the face of global change.
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