Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23194482›Full record

Trial reportAmerican heart journal2012

Risk stratification in acute heart failure: rationale and design of the STRATIFY and DECIDE studies.

Sean P Collins, Christopher J Lindsell, Cathy A Jenkins, Frank E Harrell, Gregory J Fermann, Karen F Miller, Sue N Roll, Matthew I Sperling, David J Maron, Allen J Naftilan and 4 more

Abstract readClinical TrialMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Trial report in American heart journal, 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
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  5. Article
  6. Utility of shock index to predict mortality risk in decompensated heart failure.Journal of the colleges of medicine of South Africa · 2025
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  7. Review
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  12. Article
  13. Observational
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Sean P CollinsVanderbilt University, Nashville, TN, USA.
Christopher J Lindsell
Cathy A Jenkins
Frank E Harrell
Gregory J Fermann
Karen F Miller
Sue N Roll
Matthew I Sperling
David J Maron
Allen J Naftilan
John A McPherson
Neal L Weintraub
Douglas B Sawyer
Alan B Storrow

Funding

Cincinnati Center for Clinical and Translational Sciences and TrainingUL1TR000077 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF CINCINNATI · PI HEUBI, JAMES E., TSEVAT, JOEL · 2012 to 2014
$9.9M
The Vanderbilt Emergency Medicine Research Training Program (VEMRT)K12HL109019 · NHLBI · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI COLLINS, SEAN PATRICK, STORROW, ALAN B · 2011 to 2015
$3.7M
Perivascular adipose tissue and vascular remodelingR01HL112640 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF CINCINNATI · PI WEINTRAUB, NEAL L · 2012 to 2016
$2.1M
Treatment Endpoints in Acute Decompensated Heart FailureK23HL085387 · NHLBI · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY · PI COLLINS, SEAN PATRICK · 2008 to 2012
$797k
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000077NHLBI NIH HHS K12 HL109019NHLBI NIH HHS K23 HL085387NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL112640
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundA critical challenge for physicians facing patients presenting with signs and symptoms of acute heart failure (AHF) is how and where to best manage them. Currently, most patients evaluated for AHF are admitted to the hospital, yet not all warrant inpatient care. Up to 50% of admissions could be potentially avoided and many admitted patients could be discharged after a short period of observation and treatment. Methods for identifying patients that can be sent home early are lacking. Improving the physician's ability to identify and safely manage low-risk patients is essential to avoiding unnecessary use of hospital beds.

methodsTwo studies (STRATIFY and DECIDE) have been funded by the National Heart Lung and Blood Institute with the goal of developing prediction rules to facilitate early decision making in AHF. Using prospectively gathered evaluation and treatment data from the acute setting (STRATIFY) and early inpatient stay (DECIDE), rules will be generated to predict risk for death and serious complications. Subsequent studies will be designed to test the external validity, utility, generalizability and cost-effectiveness of these prediction rules in different acute care environments representing racially and socioeconomically diverse patient populations.

resultsA major innovation is prediction of 5-day as well as 30-day outcomes, overcoming the limitation that 30-day outcomes are highly dependent on unpredictable, post-visit patient and provider behavior. A novel aspect of the proposed project is the use of a comprehensive cardiology review to correctly assign post-treatment outcomes to the acute presentation.

conclusionsFinally, a rigorous analysis plan has been developed to construct the prediction rules that will maximally extract both the statistical and clinical properties of every data element. Upon completion of this study we will subsequently externally test the prediction rules in a heterogeneous patient cohort.

Indexed as

Decision Support TechniquesPatient AdmissionPatient DischargeAcute DiseaseAdolescentAdultAmbulatory CareCost-Benefit AnalysisEmergency Medical ServicesHeart FailureHumansLength of StayProspective StudiesResearch DesignRisk AssessmentTreatment Outcome

Identifiers

PMID23194482
PMCPMC3511776

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.