Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23173094›Full record

ArticleG3 (Bethesda, Md.)2012

Effectiveness of genomic prediction of maize hybrid performance in different breeding populations and environments.

Vanessa S Windhausen, Gary N Atlin, John M Hickey, Jose Crossa, Jean-Luc Jannink, Mark E Sorrells, Babu Raman, Jill E Cairns, Amsal Tarekegne, Kassa Semagn and 5 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in G3 (Bethesda, Md.), 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 130 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
130citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

130 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Integrating genomic predictions into an applied Central European wheat breeding program.TAG. Theoretical and applied genetics. Theoretische und angewandte Genetik · 2026
    Article
  6. Article
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  8. Harnessing big data for enhanced genome-wide prediction in winter wheat breeding.TAG. Theoretical and applied genetics. Theoretische und angewandte Genetik · 2025
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Transferability of genomic prediction models across market segments in potato and the effect of selection.TAG. Theoretical and applied genetics. Theoretische und angewandte Genetik · 2025
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Genomic Prediction in a Self-Fertilized Progenies ofPlants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025
    Article
  15. Optimization of sparse phenotyping strategy in multi-environmental trials in maize.TAG. Theoretical and applied genetics. Theoretische und angewandte Genetik · 2025
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

70 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Vanessa S WindhausenInstitute of Plant Breeding, Seed Science and Population Genetics, University of Hohenheim, Fruwirthstrasse 21, Stuttgart, Germany.
Gary N Atlin
John M Hickey
Jose Crossa
Jean-Luc Jannink
Mark E Sorrells
Babu Raman
Jill E Cairns
Amsal Tarekegne
Kassa Semagn
Yoseph Beyene
Pichet Grudloyma
Frank Technow
Christian Riedelsheimer
Albrecht E Melchinger

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Genomic prediction is expected to considerably increase genetic gains by increasing selection intensity and accelerating the breeding cycle. In this study, marker effects estimated in 255 diverse maize (Zea mays L.) hybrids were used to predict grain yield, anthesis date, and anthesis-silking interval within the diversity panel and testcross progenies of 30 F(2)-derived lines from each of five populations. Although up to 25% of the genetic variance could be explained by cross validation within the diversity panel, the prediction of testcross performance of F(2)-derived lines using marker effects estimated in the diversity panel was on average zero. Hybrids in the diversity panel could be grouped into eight breeding populations differing in mean performance. When performance was predicted separately for each breeding population on the basis of marker effects estimated in the other populations, predictive ability was low (i.e., 0.12 for grain yield). These results suggest that prediction resulted mostly from differences in mean performance of the breeding populations and less from the relationship between the training and validation sets or linkage disequilibrium with causal variants underlying the predicted traits. Potential uses for genomic prediction in maize hybrid breeding are discussed emphasizing the need of (1) a clear definition of the breeding scenario in which genomic prediction should be applied (i.e., prediction among or within populations), (2) a detailed analysis of the population structure before performing cross validation, and (3) larger training sets with strong genetic relationship to the validation set.

Indexed as

BreedingGenome, PlantAnalysis of VarianceChimeraEnvironmentGenetic VariationModels, StatisticalProbabilityQuantitative Trait, HeritableZea mays

Identifiers

PMID23173094
PMCPMC3484673

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.