Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23159464›Full record

ArticleBone2013

Clinical risk factors, bone density and fall history in the prediction of incident fracture among men and women.

M H Edwards, K Jameson, H Denison, N C Harvey, A Aihie Sayer, E M Dennison, C Cooper

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Bone, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 43 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
43citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
8.1field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

43 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 98 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Functional benefits are sustained after a program of supervised resistance exercise in cancer patients with bone metastases: longitudinal results of a pilot study.Supportive care in cancer : official journal of the Multinational Association of Supportive Care in Cancer · 2014
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  12. Incidence and risk factors for osteoporotic non-vertebral fracture in low-income community-dwelling elderly: a population-based prospective cohort study in Brazil. The São Paulo Ageing and Health (SPAH) study.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2021
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Understanding Osteoporosis Screening Practices in Men: A Nationwide Physician Survey.Endocrine practice : official journal of the American College of Endocrinology and the American Association of Clinical Endocrinologists · 2020
    Article
  17. Review
  18. Depression, falls, and fractures.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2020
    Article
  19. A fall in the previous 12 months predicts fracture in the subsequent 5 years in postmenopausal women.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2020
    Article
  20. Screening for high hip fracture risk does not impact on falls risk: a post hoc analysis from the SCOOP study.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2020
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

M H EdwardsMRC Lifecourse Epidemiology Unit, (University of Southampton), University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust, Southampton, SO16 6YD, UK. me@mrc.soton.ac.uk
K Jameson
H Denison
N C Harvey
A Aihie Sayer
E M Dennison
C Cooper
University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust · GBMRC Lifecourse Epidemiology Unit · GBUniversity of Southampton · GB

Funding

Arthritis Research UKMedical Research Council G0400491Medical Research Council MC_U147585819Medical Research Council MC_U147585824Medical Research Council MC_UP_A620_1014Medical Research Council MC_UP_A620_1015Medical Research Council MC_UU_12011/2
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The FRAX(tr) algorithm uses clinical risk factors (CRF) and bone mineral density (BMD) to predict fracture risk but does not include falls history in the calculation. Using results from the Hertfordshire Cohort Study, we examined the relative contributions of CRFs, BMD and falls history to fracture prediction. We studied 2299 participants at a baseline clinic that included completion of a health questionnaire and anthropometric data. A mean of 5.5years later (range 2.9-8.8years) subjects completed a postal questionnaire detailing fall and fracture history. In a subset of 368 men and 407 women, bone densitometry was performed using a Hologic QDR 4500 instrument. There was a significantly increased risk of fracture in men and women with a previous fracture. A one standard deviation drop in femoral neck BMD was associated with a hazards ratio (HR) of incident fracture (adjusted for CRFs) of 1.92 (1.04-3.54) and 1.77 (1.16-2.71) in men and women respectively. A history of any fall since the age of 45years resulted in an unadjusted HR of fracture of 7.31 (3.78-14.14) and 8.56 (4.85-15.13) in men and women respectively. In a ROC curve analysis, the predictive capacity progressively increased as BMD and previous falls were added into an initial model using CRFs alone. Falls history is a further independent risk factor for fracture. Falls risk should be taken into consideration when assessing whether or not to commence medication for osteoporosis and should also alert the physician to the opportunity to target falls risk directly.

Indexed as

Bone DensityAccidental FallsAgedFemaleFemur NeckFractures, BoneHumansIncidenceMaleProportional Hazards ModelsRisk FactorsROC CurveUnited Kingdom

Identifiers

PMID23159464
PMCPMC3654628
OpenAlexW1989993826

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.