Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23092312›Full record

ArticleCurrent medical research and opinion2012

Coronary risk assessment among intermediate risk patients using a clinical and biomarker based algorithm developed and validated in two population cohorts.

D S Cross, C A McCarty, E Hytopoulos, M Beggs, N Nolan, D S Harrington, T Hastie, R Tibshirani, R P Tracy, B M Psaty and 3 more

Open access · greenAbstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Current medical research and opinion, 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
1.9field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 38 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Diabetes · 2020
    Trial
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Observational
  8. Cardiovascular risk assessment: The foundation of preventive cardiology.American journal of preventive cardiology · 2020
    Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

D S CrossThe Marshfield Clinic, Marshfield, WI, USA.
C A McCarty
E Hytopoulos
M Beggs
N Nolan
D S Harrington
T Hastie
R Tibshirani
R P Tracy
B M Psaty
R McClelland
P S Tsao
T Quertermous
Stanford University · USUniversity of Washington · USUniversity of Southern California · USUniversity of Vermont · US

Funding

International Network for Strategic Initiatives in Global HIV Trials (INSIGHT)U01AI068641 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI NEATON, JAMES DENNIS · 2006 to 2010
$120.1M
Institutional Clinical and Translational Science AwardUL1TR000427 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI DREZNER, MARC KENNETH · 2012 to 2016
$32.2M
Heart Failure Clinical Research Network - DCCU01HL084904 · NHLBI · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI LEE, KERRY L · 2006 to 2011
$19.8M
Pulmonary Vascular Changes in Early Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD)R01HL093081 · NHLBI · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI R Graham BARR · 2008 to 2026
$17.2M
Project 5: ROS, Glutathione and Vascular Response to Diesel ExhaustP50ES015915 · NIEHS · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI KAUFMAN, JOEL DANIEL · 2008 to 2012
$11.8M
ASSOCIATION OF SLEEP DISORDERS WITH CARDIOVASCULAR HEALTH ACROSS ETHNIC GROUPSR01HL098433 · NHLBI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI REDLINE, SUSAN S. · 2010 to 2015
$8.2M
Determinants and Cardiovascular Consequences of Diabetes in Older AdultsR01HL094555 · NHLBI · BETH ISRAEL DEACONESS MEDICAL CENTER · PI ARNOLD, ALICE A., DJOUSSE, LUC · 2009 to 2012
$5.9M
Thrombosis Genetics, MI and Stroke in Older AdultsR01HL071862 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI REINER, ALEXANDER P · 2003 to 2012
$4.3M
SUBCLINICAL CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE STUDYN01HC95166 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF VERMONT & ST AGRIC COLLEGE · PI TRACY, RUSSELL P · 2007 to 2014
$4.0M
Abdominal Body Composition, Inflammation and Cardiovascular DiseaaseR01HL088451 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI ALLISON, MATTHEW A · 2007 to 2011
$2.5M
Learning Adaptive Treatment Strategies in Mental HealthR01MH080015 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI MURPHY, SUSAN A · 2007 to 2011
$2.2M
Adjunctive Use of Apyrase to Fibrinolytic TherapyR44HL095169 · NHLBI · APT THERAPEUTICS, INC. · PI CHEN, RIDONG · 2012 to 2013
$1.3M
NCATS NIH HHS U54TR000021NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000427NHLBI NIH HHS HC-95159NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC055222NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095159NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095166NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095169NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC55222NHLBI NIH HHS N01-HC-95159NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC95166NHLBI NIH HHS N01-HC-95169NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL071862NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL080015NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL088451NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL093081NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL094555NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL098433NHLBI NIH HHS R01HL098433NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL084904NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI068641NIA NIH HHS N01 AG062106NICHD NIH HHS HHSN275200800015CNIEHS NIH HHS P50 ES015915NIEHS NIH HHS P50ES015915NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH080015
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMany coronary heart disease (CHD) events occur in individuals classified as intermediate risk by commonly used assessment tools. Over half the individuals presenting with a severe cardiac event, such as myocardial infarction (MI), have at most one risk factor as included in the widely used Framingham risk assessment. Individuals classified as intermediate risk, who are actually at high risk, may not receive guideline recommended treatments. A clinically useful method for accurately predicting 5-year CHD risk among intermediate risk patients remains an unmet medical need.

objectiveThis study sought to develop a CHD Risk Assessment (CHDRA) model that improves 5-year risk stratification among intermediate risk individuals.

methodsAssay panels for biomarkers associated with atherosclerosis biology (inflammation, angiogenesis, apoptosis, chemotaxis, etc.) were optimized for measuring baseline serum samples from 1084 initially CHD-free Marshfield Clinic Personalized Medicine Research Project (PMRP) individuals. A multivariable Cox regression model was fit using the most powerful risk predictors within the clinical and protein variables identified by repeated cross-validation. The resulting CHDRA algorithm was validated in a Multiple-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) case-cohort sample.

resultsA CHDRA algorithm of age, sex, diabetes, and family history of MI, combined with serum levels of seven biomarkers (CTACK, Eotaxin, Fas Ligand, HGF, IL-16, MCP-3, and sFas) yielded a clinical net reclassification index of 42.7% (p < 0.001) for MESA patients with a recalibrated Framingham 5-year intermediate risk level. Across all patients, the model predicted acute coronary events (hazard ratio = 2.17, p < 0.001), and remained an independent predictor after Framingham risk factor adjustments. LIMITATIONS: These include the slightly different event definition with the MESA samples and inability to include PMRP fatal CHD events.

conclusionsA novel risk score of serum protein levels plus clinical risk factors, developed and validated in independent cohorts, demonstrated clinical utility for assessing the true risk of CHD events in intermediate risk patients. Improved accuracy in cardiovascular risk classification could lead to improved preventive care and fewer deaths.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsAdultAgedAged, 80 and overBiomarkersCohort StudiesCoronary DiseaseFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRisk AssessmentBiomarkers

Identifiers

PMID23092312
PMCPMC3666558
OpenAlexW2000155500

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.