Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23067205›Full record

ArticleBMC cardiovascular disorders2012

High-normal blood pressure and long-term risk of type 2 diabetes: 35-year prospective population based cohort study of men.

Christina Hedén Stahl, Masuma Novak, Georgios Lappas, Lars Wilhelmsen, Lena Björck, Per-Olof Hansson, Annika Rosengren

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC cardiovascular disorders, 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed
0.8field-weighted citation impact, top 24% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 31 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. The Interdependence of Blood Pressure and Glucose in Vietnam.High blood pressure & cardiovascular prevention : the official journal of the Italian Society of Hypertension · 2021
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Association of risk factors with type 2 diabetes: A systematic review.Computational and structural biotechnology journal · 2021
    Review
  9. Insulin Resistance the Hinge Between Hypertension and Type 2 Diabetes.High blood pressure & cardiovascular prevention : the official journal of the Italian Society of Hypertension · 2020
    Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Hypertension with diabetes mellitus: significance from an epidemiological perspective for Japanese.Hypertension research : official journal of the Japanese Society of Hypertension · 2017
    Review
  16. Article
  17. Observational
  18. Hypertension is an independent risk factor for type 2 diabetes: the Korean genome and epidemiology study.Hypertension research : official journal of the Japanese Society of Hypertension · 2015
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Christina Hedén StahlDepartment of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, the Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg SE-416 85, Sweden. christina.heden-stahl@vgregion.se
Masuma Novak
Georgios Lappas
Lars Wilhelmsen
Lena Björck
Per-Olof Hansson
Annika Rosengren
University of Gothenburg · SE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe link between type 2 diabetes and hypertension is well established and the conditions often coexist. High normal blood pressure, defined by WHO-ISH as systolic blood pressure (SBP) 130-139 mm Hg or diastolic blood pressure (DBP) 85-89 mm Hg, has been found to be an independent predictor for type 2 diabetes in studies, although with relatively limited follow-up periods of approximately 10 years. The aim of this study was to investigate whether hypertension, including mildly elevated blood pressure within the normal range, predicted subsequent development of type 2 diabetes in men over an extended follow-up of 35 years.

methodsData were derived from the Gothenburg Primary Prevention Study where a random sample of 7 494 men aged 47-55 years underwent a baseline screening investigation in the period 1970-1973. A total of 7 333 men were free from previous history of diabetes at baseline. During a 35-year follow-up diabetes was identified through the Swedish hospital discharge and death registries. The cumulative risk of diabetes adjusted for age and competing risk of death was calculated. Using Cox proportional hazard models we calculated the multiple adjusted hazard ratios (HR) (95% confidence interval (CI)) for diabetes at different blood pressure levels.

resultsDuring a 35-year follow-up, 956 men (13%) were identified with diabetes. The 35-year cumulative risk of diabetes after adjusting for age and competing risk of death in men with SBP levels <130 mm Hg, 130-139 mm Hg, 140-159 mm Hg and ≥160 mm Hg were 19%, 30%, 31% and 49%, respectively. The HR for diabetes adjusted for age, body mass index (BMI), cholesterol, antihypertensive treatment, smoking, physical activity and occupation were 1.43 (95% CI 1.12-1.84), 1.43 (95% CI 1.14-1.79) and 1.95 (95% CI 1.55-2.46) for men with SBP 130-139 mm Hg, 140-159 mm Hg, and ≥ 160 mm Hg, respectively (reference; SBP<130 mm Hg).

conclusionIn this population, at mid-life, even high-normal SBP levels were shown to be a significant predictor of type 2 diabetes, independently of BMI and other conventional type 2 diabetes risk factors over an extended follow-up.

Indexed as

Body Mass IndexCohort StudiesDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2FemaleHumansHypertensionMaleMiddle AgedProportional Hazards ModelsProspective StudiesRiskSystole

Identifiers

PMID23067205
PMCPMC3509395
OpenAlexW2066646931

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.