Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23040528›Full record

ArticleFertility and sterility2013

Validation of a clinical risk scoring system, based solely on clinical presentation, for the management of pregnancy of unknown location.

Kurt T Barnhart, Mary D Sammel, Peter Takacs, Karine Chung, Christopher B Morse, Katherine O'Flynn O'Brien, Lynne Allen-Taylor, Alka Shaunik

Abstract readMulticenter StudyValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Fertility and sterility, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Analysis of ectopic pregnancies admitted to emergency department.Turkish journal of emergency medicine · 2015
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Kurt T BarnhartDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Electronic address: kbarnhart@obgyn.upenn.edu.
Mary D SammelDepartment of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Peter TakacsDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Miami School of Medicine, Miami, Florida.
Karine ChungDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California.
Christopher B MorseDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Katherine O'Flynn O'BrienDepartment of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Lynne Allen-TaylorDepartment of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Alka ShaunikDepartment of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.

Funding

RISK FACTORS AS PREDICTORS OF ECTOPIC PREGNANCYR01HD036455 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI BARNHART, KURT T · 1999 to 2010
$4.1M
Development of a serum biosignature for ectopic pregnancy.R01HD076279 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI BARNHART, KURT T · 2014 to 2018
$3.4M
Midcareer investigator award in patient oriented researchK24HD060687 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI BARNHART, KURT T · 2009 to 2014
$956k
NICHD NIH HHS K24 HD060687NICHD NIH HHS K24HD060687NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD036455NICHD NIH HHS R01-HD036455NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD076279
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo assess a scoring system to triage women with a pregnancy of unknown location.

designValidation of prediction rule.

settingMulticenter study. PATIENT(S): Women with a pregnancy of unknown location. INTERVENTION(S): None. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S): Scores assigned to factors identified at clinical presentation, total score calculated to assess risk of ectopic pregnancy (EP) in women with a pregnancy of unknown location, and a proposed three-tiered clinical action plan. RESULT(S): The cohort of 1,400 women (284 ectopic pregnancies, 759 miscarriages, and 357 intrauterine pregnancies) was more diverse than the original cohort used to develop the decision rule. The recommendations of the action plan were low risk, intermediate risk, and high risk; the recommendation based on the model score was compared with clinical diagnosis. A total of 29.4% intrauterine pregnancies were identified for less frequent follow-up observation, and 18.4% nonviable gestations were identified for more frequent follow-up observation (to rule out an ectopic pregnancy) compared with intermediate risk (i.e., monitor in current standard fashion). For a decision of possible less frequent monitoring, the specificity was 90.8% (89.0-92.6) with negative predictive value of 79.0% (76.7-81.3). For a decision of more intense follow-up observation, the specificity was 95.0% (92.7-97.2). Test characteristics using the scoring system were replicated in the diverse validation cohort. CONCLUSION(S): A scoring system based on symptoms at presentation has value to stratify risk and influence the intensity of outpatient surveillance for women with pregnancy of unknown location but does not serve as a diagnostic tool.

Indexed as

Abortion, SpontaneousAdultFemaleHumansMass ScreeningModels, StatisticalPregnancyPregnancy, EctopicRisk FactorsSensitivity and SpecificityTriage

Identifiers

PMID23040528
PMCPMC3534951

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.