Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23037798›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA2013

Structural models used in real-time biosurveillance outbreak detection and outbreak curve isolation from noisy background morbidity levels.

Karen Elizabeth Cheng, David J Crary, Jaideep Ray, Cosmin Safta

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Karen Elizabeth ChengHealth Effects and Medical Response Group, Applied Research Associates, Inc, Arlington, VA 22203-1729, USA. kcheng@ara.com
David J Crary
Jaideep Ray
Cosmin Safta

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveWe discuss the use of structural models for the analysis of biosurveillance related data. METHODS AND

resultsUsing a combination of real and simulated data, we have constructed a data set that represents a plausible time series resulting from surveillance of a large scale bioterrorist anthrax attack in Miami. We discuss the performance of anomaly detection with structural models for these data using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and activity monitoring operating characteristic (AMOC) analysis. In addition, we show that these techniques provide a method for predicting the level of the outbreak valid for approximately 2 weeks, post-alarm.

conclusionsStructural models provide an effective tool for the analysis of biosurveillance data, in particular for time series with noisy, non-stationary background and missing data.

Indexed as

Disease OutbreaksModels, BiologicalAlgorithmsAnthraxBiosurveillanceBioterrorismHumansROC Curve

Identifiers

PMID23037798
PMCPMC3628046

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.