Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23034729›Full record

Trial reportThe British journal of surgery2012

Final follow-up of the Multicentre Aneurysm Screening Study (MASS) randomized trial of abdominal aortic aneurysm screening.

S G Thompson, H A Ashton, L Gao, M J Buxton, R A P Scott, Multicentre Aneurysm Screening Study (MASS) Group

Registry-linked trialAbstract readMulticenter StudyRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in The British journal of surgery, 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT02306304 (Ultra-sound for AAA Screening in Smoking Israeli Arab Men), which is not on this map. Cited by 76 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
76citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT02306304 nacompletednot on this mapstarted 2015, after this paper: background citation

Ultra-sound for AAA Screening in Smoking Israeli Arab Men

TypeinterventionalSponsorClalit Health ServicesRan2015 to 2017Enrolled913ConditionsAbdominal Aortic Aneurysm (AAA)ArmsDuplex ultra sound screening for abdominal aortic aneurysms
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

76 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Recommendations on screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm in primary care.CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2017
    Guideline
  5. Trial
  6. Trial
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Observational
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Will DANCAVAS be the most important screening trial in the last 50 years?American journal of preventive cardiology · 2024
    Article
  16. Article
  17. One-time screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm in Ontario, Canada: a model-based cost-utility analysis.CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2024
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

16 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

S G ThompsonDepartment of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Cambridge, UK. sgt27@medschl.cam.ac.uk
H A Ashton
L Gao
M J Buxton
R A P Scott
Multicentre Aneurysm Screening Study (MASS) Group

Funding

British Heart Foundation RG/08/014/24067Medical Research Council G0601031Medical Research Council MC_EX_G0601031Medical Research Council MC_U105260792
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe long-term effects of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) screening were investigated in extended follow-up from the UK Multicentre Aneurysm Screening Study (MASS) randomized trial.

methodsA population-based sample of men aged 65-74 years were randomized individually to invitation to ultrasound screening (invited group) or to a control group not offered screening. Patients with an AAA (3·0 cm or larger) detected at screening underwent surveillance and were offered surgery after predefined criteria had been met. Cause-specific mortality data were analysed using Cox regression.

resultsSome 67 770 men were enrolled in the study. Over 13 years, there were 224 AAA-related deaths in the invited group and 381 in the control group, a 42 (95 per cent confidence interval 31 to 51) per cent reduction. There was no evidence of effect on other causes of death, but there was an overall reduction in all-cause mortality of 3 (1 to 5) per cent. The degree of benefit seen in earlier years of follow-up was slightly diminished by the occurrence of AAA ruptures in those with an aorta originally screened normal. About half of these ruptures had a baseline aortic diameter in the range 2·5-2·9 cm. It was estimated that 216 men need to be invited to screening to save one death over the next 13 years.

conclusionScreening resulted in a reduction in all-cause mortality, and the benefit in AAA-related mortality continued to accumulate throughout follow-up. REGISTRATION NUMBER: ISRCTN37381646 (http://www.controlled-trials.com).

Indexed as

AgedAortic Aneurysm, AbdominalAortic RuptureCause of DeathEarly DiagnosisFollow-Up StudiesHumansMale

Identifiers

PMID23034729
PMCPMC3569614

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.