Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23018805›Full record

Trial reportSpine2012

Who should have surgery for spinal stenosis? Treatment effect predictors in SPORT.

Adam Pearson, Jon Lurie, Tor Tosteson, Wenyan Zhao, William Abdu, James N Weinstein

Abstract readMulticenter StudyRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Spine, 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 45 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
45citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
5.8field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

45 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 108 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Surgery or physical activity in the management of sciatica: a systematic review and meta-analysis.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2016
    Pooled it
  2. Do MRI findings identify patients with low back pain or sciatica who respond better to particular interventions? A systematic review.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2016
    Pooled it
  3. Management of lumbar spinal stenosis.BMJ (Clinical research ed.) · 2016
    Pooled it
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  8. Pain, quality of life, and function in chronic intractable leg pain were substantially improved with 10kHz spinal cord stimulation in a multicentre European study.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2025
    Observational
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  12. Long-term reoperation risk of thoracic to pelvis instrumentation for spinal deformity: a longitudinal study of 7,062 patients.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2025
    Article
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  18. Prediction of walking ability following posterior decompression for lumbar spinal stenosis.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2021
    Observational
  19. Article
  20. Classification and prognostic factors of residual symptoms after minimally invasive lumbar decompression surgery using a cluster analysis: a 5-year follow-up cohort study.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2021
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Adam PearsonDepartment of Orthopaedics, Dartmouth Medical School and the Dartmouth Institute for Health Policy and Clinical Practice, Hanover, NH, USA. adam.m.pearson@hitchcock.org
Jon Lurie
Tor Tosteson
Wenyan Zhao
William Abdu
James N Weinstein
Dartmouth Institute for Health Policy and Clinical Practice · US

Funding

Translational Engineering in Cancer (TEC)P30CA023108 · NCI · DARTMOUTH COLLEGE · PI Fred W Kolling IV · 1985 to 2026
$91.3M
LOW BACK PAIN--A MULTICENTER RANDOMIZED TRIALU01AR045444 · NIAMS · DARTMOUTH COLLEGE · PI WEINSTEIN, JAMES N · 1999 to 2013
$20.8M
Prognostic Value of Lumbar Spine MRIP60AR048094 · NIAMS · DARTMOUTH COLLEGE · PI ATLAS, STEVEN J · 2003 to 2007
$6.2M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA023108NIAMS NIH HHS P60 AR048094NIAMS NIH HHS P60-AR048094NIAMS NIH HHS U01 AR045444NIAMS NIH HHS U01-AR45444
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

STUDY

designCombined prospective randomized controlled trial and observational cohort study of spinal stenosis (SpS) with an as-treated analysis.

objectiveTo determine modifiers of the treatment effect (TE) of surgery (the difference between surgical and nonoperative outcomes) for SpS using subgroup analysis. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: The Spine Patient Outcomes Research Trial demonstrated a positive surgical TE for SpS at the group level. However, individual characteristics may affect TE. No previous studies have evaluated TE modifiers in SpS.

methodsSpS patients were treated with either surgery (n = 419) or nonoperative care (n = 235) and were analyzed according to treatment received. Fifty-three baseline variables were used to define subgroups for calculating the time-weighted average TE for the Oswestry Disability Index (ODI) over 4 years (TE = ΔODIsurgery - ΔODInonoperative). Variables with significant subgroup × treatment interactions (P < 0.05) were simultaneously entered into a multivariate model to select independent TE predictors.

resultsOther than smokers, all analyzed subgroups including at least 50 patients improved significantly more with surgery than with nonoperative treatment (P < 0.05). Multivariate analysis demonstrated: baseline ODI ≤ 56 (TE -15.0 vs. -4.4, ODI > 56, P < 0.001), not smoking (TE -11.7 vs. -1.6 smokers, P < 0.001), neuroforaminal stenosis (TE -14.2 vs. -8.7 no neuroforaminal stenosis, P = 0.002), predominant leg pain (TE -11.5 vs. -7.3 predominant back pain, P = 0.035), not lifting at work (TE -12.5 vs. -0.5 lifting at work, P = 0.017), and the presence of a neurological deficit (TE -13.3 vs. -7.2 no neurological deficit, P < 0.001) were associated with greater TE.

conclusionWith the exception of smokers, patients who met strict inclusion criteria improved more with surgery than with nonoperative treatment, regardless of other specific characteristics. However, TE varied significantly across certain subgroups, and these data can be used to individualize shared decision making discussions about likely outcomes. Smoking cessation should be considered before surgery for SpS.

Indexed as

Disability EvaluationAgedCohort StudiesFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMaleMiddle AgedMultivariate AnalysisOutcome Assessment, Health CarePrognosisRadiographySpinal StenosisSpineTime Factors

Identifiers

PMID23018805
PMCPMC3758127
OpenAlexW2035940430

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.