Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23008049›Full record

ArticleLiver transplantation : official publication of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases and the International Liver Transplantation Society2012

Projected future increase in aging hepatitis C virus-infected liver transplant candidates: a potential effect of hepatocellular carcinoma.

Scott W Biggins, Kiran M Bambha, Norah A Terrault, John Inadomi, Stephen Shiboski, Jennifer L Dodge, Jane Gralla, Hugo R Rosen, John P Roberts

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Liver transplantation : official publication of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases and the International Liver Transplantation Society, 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed
4.0field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed, 71 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Differential aging trends among candidates for liver transplant with and without HCC.Liver transplantation : official publication of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases and the International Liver Transplantation Society · 2025
    Article
  2. Review
  3. Review
  4. Direct-acting antivirals ability to clear intestinal HCV-RNA in liver transplant patients.Transplant infectious disease : an official journal of the Transplantation Society · 2020
    Article
  5. Effect of Hepatitis C Treatment on Renal Function in Liver Transplant Patients.Journal of clinical and translational hepatology · 2018
    Article
  6. National Trends in Liver Transplantation in Older Adults.Journal of the American Geriatrics Society · 2018
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Decreasing mortality and disease severity in hepatitis C patients awaiting liver transplantation in the United States.Liver transplantation : official publication of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases and the International Liver Transplantation Society · 2018
    Article
  9. Article
  10. National assessment of early hospitalization after liver transplantation: Risk factors and association with patient survival.Liver transplantation : official publication of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases and the International Liver Transplantation Society · 2017
    Observational
  11. Article
  12. Changes in Utilization and Discard of Hepatitis C-Infected Donor Livers in the Recent Era.American journal of transplantation : official journal of the American Society of Transplantation and the American Society of Transplant Surgeons · 2017
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Article
  16. Chaperones in hepatitis C virus infection.World journal of hepatology · 2016
    Review
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Challenging hepatitis C-infected liver transplant patients.Hepatic medicine : evidence and research · 2016
    Review
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Scott W BigginsDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Colorado Denver, Aurora, CO 80045, USA. scott.biggins@ucdenver.edu
Kiran M Bambha
Norah A Terrault
John Inadomi
Stephen Shiboski
Jennifer L Dodge
Jane Gralla
Hugo R Rosen
John P Roberts
University of California, San Francisco · USUniversity of Colorado Denver · USUniversity of Colorado Hospital · USUniversity of Washington · US

Funding

CTSA: K12 COMPONENTKL2RR024130 · NCRR · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI JOHNSTON, S. CLAIBORNE · 2006 to 2011
$19.3M
Midcareer Investigator Award in Patient-Oriented Research (K24)K24AI083742 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI ROSEN, HUGO RAMON · 2009 to 2013
$888k
Bias in Retransplantation Survival Models: Selection Criteria and Hepatitis CK08DK076565 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI BIGGINS, SCOTT W · 2007 to 2011
$610k
NCRR NIH HHS KL2 RR024130NIAID NIH HHS K24 AI083742NIDDK NIH HHS DK076565NIDDK NIH HHS K08 DK076565
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In the United States, the peak hepatitis C virus (HCV) antibody prevalence of 4% occurred in persons born in the calendar years 1940-1965. The goal of this study was to examine observed and projected age-specific trends in the demand for liver transplantation (LT) among patients with HCV-associated liver disease stratified by concurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). All new adult LT candidates registered with the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network for LT between 1995 and 2010 were identified. Patients who had primary, secondary, or text field diagnoses of HCV with or without HCC were identified. There were 126,862 new primary registrants for LT, and 52,540 (41%) had HCV. The number of new registrants with HCV dramatically differed by the age at calendar year, and this suggested a birth cohort effect. When the candidates were stratified by birth year in 5-year intervals, the birth cohorts with the highest frequency of HCV were as follows (in decreasing order): 1951-1955, 1956-1960, 1946-1950, and 1941-1945. These 4 birth cohorts, spanning from 1941 to 1960, accounted for 81% of all new registrants with HCV. A 4-fold increase in new registrants with HCV and HCC occurred between the calendar years 2000 and 2010 in the 1941-1960 birth cohorts. By 2015, we anticipate that an increasing proportion of new registrants with HCV will have HCC and be ≥60 years old (born in or before 1955). In conclusion, the greatest demand for LT due to HCV-associated liver disease is occurring among individuals born between 1941 and 1960. This demand appears to be driven by the development of HCC in patients with HCV. During the coming decade, the projected increase in the demand for LT from an aging HCV-infected population will challenge the transplant community to reconsider current treatment paradigms.

Indexed as

Waiting ListsAdolescentAdultAgedAge DistributionAge FactorsCarcinoma, HepatocellularForecastingHealth Services Needs and DemandHepatitis CHumansLiver NeoplasmsLiver TransplantationMiddle AgedNeeds AssessmentRegistries

Identifiers

PMID23008049
PMCPMC3518670
OpenAlexW2029563238

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.