Evidence map›Paper›PMID 22981891›Full record

Trial reportContemporary clinical trials2012

The value of comparative effectiveness research: projected return on investment of the RxPONDER trial (SWOG S1007).

William B Wong, Scott D Ramsey, William E Barlow, Louis P Garrison, David L Veenstra

Abstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Contemporary clinical trials, 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Trial
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  5. Recognizing NIH's Role in Turning Discoveries into Cancer Treatments.LES nouvelles. Licensing Executives Society (U.S.A.) · 2026
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  7. Review
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  12. A Value of Information Analysis of Research on the 21-Gene Assay for Breast Cancer Management.Value in health : the journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research · 2019
    Article
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  20. ONCOLOGISTS' BARRIERS AND FACILITATORS FOR ONCOTYPE DX USE: QUALITATIVE STUDY.International journal of technology assessment in health care · 2016
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

William B WongPharmaceutical Outcomes Research and Policy Program, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Scott D Ramsey
William E Barlow
Louis P Garrison
David L Veenstra

Funding

SWOG - Foreign Accrual under UMiU10CA032102 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI BLANKE, CHARLES D. · 1985 to 2013
$141.3M
SOUTHWEST ONCOLOGY GROUP--STATISTICAL CENTERU10CA038926 · NCI · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI LEBLANC, MICHAEL L. · 1985 to 2013
$69.8M
SOUTHWEST ONCOLOGY GROUPU10CA027057 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI SCHOTT, ANNE F · 1985 to 2013
$4.0M
Center for Comparative Effectiveness Research in Cancer Genomics - CANCERGENUC2CA148570 · NCI · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI RAMSEY, SCOTT D. · 2010 to 2010
$2.0M
NCI NIH HHS 5UC2CA148570-02NCI NIH HHS N01 CA032102NCI NIH HHS N01 CA038926NCI NIH HHS U10 CA027057NCI NIH HHS U10 CA032102NCI NIH HHS U10 CA038926NCI NIH HHS UC2 CA148570
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThe objective of this study was to assess the value of research of the RxPONDER study, an ongoing comparative effectiveness RCT designed to evaluate a 21-gene profile in early stage, node-positive breast cancer.

methodsWe developed a disease-based decision-analytic model to compare use of the 21-gene profile versus standard care. Key clinical data were derived from SWOG-8814, an RCT of chemotherapy in lymph node-positive breast cancer. Other model parameters were obtained from published sources. Probabilistic simulations and value of information calculations were used to assess the expected value of sample information (EVSI) and the expected value of sample parameter information (EVSPI).

resultsThe cost of the RxPONDER trial is expected to be at least $27 million. The expected value of research of the RxPONDER trial ranged from $450 million to $1 billion, representing a return of 17 to 39 times the projected cost of the trial. The primary objective of RxPONDER, to assess survival, had the largest estimated value relative to other model inputs. The value of RxPONDER increased by $50 million to $100 million after stakeholder input on additional data collection.

conclusionThe RxPONDER study appears to represent a good investment of public research funds. Stakeholder engagement and assessment of the return on investment should be considered to optimize and quantify the value of comparative effectiveness studies.

Indexed as

TranscriptomeAntineoplastic AgentsBreast NeoplasmsComparative Effectiveness ResearchCost-Benefit AnalysisDecision Support TechniquesFemaleHumansKaplan-Meier EstimateNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalQuality-Adjusted Life YearsAntineoplastic Agents

Identifiers

PMID22981891
PMCPMC3486702

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.