ArticleEnvironmental health : a global access science source2012
Daily temperature and mortality: a study of distributed lag non-linear effect and effect modification in Guangzhou.
Article in Environmental health : a global access science source, 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 110 papers, 7 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
110 citing papers in PubMed, 7 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Effect modifiers of the temperature-mortality association for general and older adults population of Brazil's metropolitan areas.Cadernos de saude publica · 2025Pooled it
- Heatwave Definition and Impact on Cardiovascular Health: A Systematic Review.Public health reviews · 2023Pooled it
- Temporal changes in associations between high temperature and hospitalizations by greenspace: Analysis in the Medicare population in 40 U.S. northeast counties.Environment international · 2021Pooled it
- A review of the impact of outdoor and indoor environmental factors on human health in China.Environmental science and pollution research international · 2020Pooled it
- Diabetes mortality burden attributable to short-term effect of PMEnvironmental science and pollution research international · 2020Pooled it
- Sociodemographic, climatic variability and lower respiratory tract infections: a systematic literature review.International journal of biometeorology · 2019Pooled it
- Impact of diurnal temperature range on human health: a systematic review.International journal of biometeorology · 2014Pooled it
- Regional impact of extreme temperatures on cardiovascular and respiratory mortality in Thailand: cold wave burden across diverse tropical climate zones.Journal of exposure science & environmental epidemiology · 2026Article
- Assessing Intraurban Variation in Heat-Attributable Health Burden to Inform Local Interventions.GeoHealth · 2026Article
- Racial Disparities in Weather-Related Mortality in Virginia.GeoHealth · 2026Article
- Exploring age and gender sensitivity to high-temperature days: impacts on respiratory, cardiovascular, and all-cause mortality in summer in Flanders.Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique · 2026Article
- Association between long-term extreme high temperature and mortality: a 9-million prospective cohort study.BMC medicine · 2026Article
- Definition of mortality-associated thermal markers for an extreme heat alert system in Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil.Revista brasileira de epidemiologia = Brazilian journal of epidemiology · 2026Article
- Associations of temperature, particulate matter, and greenness with human papillomavirus positivity at screening: an analysis of Guangdong Province (2016-2022) using the treed distributed lag nonlinear model.Frontiers in public health · 2026Article
- Impact of apparent temperature on specific cardiovascular disease admissions: a time-series study and association modification in Xiangyang, China.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Article
- Impact of Daily Maximum Temperature on Emergency Department Arrivals and Acuity Levels.The western journal of emergency medicine · 2025Article
- Low climate-patterned temperature and cardiovascular disease: Worldwide trends and implications for public health policy.International journal of cardiology. Cardiovascular risk and prevention · 2025Article
- Heat exposure and self-rated health in older Chinese adults: the mediating roles of chronic disease and intergenerational support, 2008-2018 CLHLS.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Association between short-term exposure to meteorological factors on hospital admissions for hemorrhagic stroke: an individual-level, case-crossover study in Ganzhou, China.Environmental health and preventive medicine · 2025Article
50 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundAlthough many studies have documented health effects of ambient temperature, little evidence is available in subtropical or tropical regions, and effect modifiers remain uncertain. We examined the effects of daily mean temperature on mortality and effect modification in the subtropical city of Guangzhou, China.
methodsA Poisson regression model combined with distributed lag non-linear model was applied to assess the non-linear and lag patterns of the association between daily mean temperature and mortality from 2003 to 2007 in Guangzhou. The case-only approach was used to determine whether the effect of temperature was modified by individual characteristics, including sex, age, educational attainment and occupation class.
resultsHot effect was immediate and limited to the first 5 days, with an overall increase of 15.46% (95% confidence interval: 10.05% to 20.87%) in mortality risk comparing the 99th and the 90th percentile temperature. Cold effect persisted for approximately 12 days, with a 20.39% (11.78% to 29.01%) increase in risk comparing the first and the 10th percentile temperature. The effects were especially remarkable for cardiovascular and respiratory mortality. The effects of both hot and cold temperatures were greater among the elderly. Females suffered more from hot-associated mortality than males. We also found significant effect modification by educational attainment and occupation class.
conclusionsThere are significant mortality effects of hot and cold temperatures in Guangzhou. The elderly, females and subjects with low socioeconomic status have been identified as especially vulnerable to the effect of ambient temperatures.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.