Evidence map›Paper›PMID 22947582›Full record

ArticleThe British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners2012

Developing a 'traffic light' test with potential for rational early diagnosis of liver fibrosis and cirrhosis in the community.

Nick Sheron, Mike Moore, Stacey Ansett, Camille Parsons, Adrian Bateman

Erratum issuedOpen access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners, 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
2.3field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 27 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
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  7. GPs' experiences and perceptions of early detection of liver disease: a qualitative study in primary care.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2018
    Article
  8. Biomarker-Based Approaches for Assessing Alcohol Use Disorders.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2016
    Review
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  12. Article
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  14. Feasibility of detection and intervention for alcohol-related liver disease in the community: the Alcohol and Liver Disease Detection study (ALDDeS).The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2013
    Article
  15. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

  • Erratum issued
5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Nick SheronClinical and Experimental Sciences Academic Unit, Faculty of Medicine, University of Southampton. Nick.Sheron@soton.ac.uk
Mike Moore
Stacey Ansett
Camille Parsons
Adrian Bateman
University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust · GBUniversity of Southampton · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLiver disease develops silently and presents late, with often fatal complications.

aimTo develop a 'traffic light' test for liver disease suitable for community use that could enhance assessment of liver risk and allow rational referral of more severe disease to specialist care. DESIGN AND

settingTwo cohorts from Southampton University Hospital Trust Liver Unit: model development and a validation cohort to evaluate prognosis.

methodA total of 1038 consecutive liver patients (inpatient and outpatient) (development n = 397, validation n = 641) for whom the relevant blood tests had been performed, were followed for a mean of 46 months (range 13-89 months). Blood tests for: hyaluronic acid (HA), procollagen-3 N-terminal peptide (P3NP), and platelet count were combined in a diagnostic algorithm to stage liver disease.

resultsA simple clinical rule combined: HA, P3NP, and platelet count into a 'traffic light' algorithm, grading the results red--high risk, amber--intermediate risk, and green--low risk. In the validation cohort, no green subjects died or developed varices or ascites (n = 202); in the amber group, 9/267 (3.3%) died, 0/267 developed varices, and 2/267 (0.7%) developed ascites; in the red group, 24/172 died (14%), 24/172 (14%) developed varices, and 20/172 developed (11.6%) ascites. Survival was reduced in red (P<0.001) and amber (P<0.012) groups compared with green.

conclusionA simple blood test triages liver disease into three prognostic groups; used in the community, it could enhance the management of risk factors in primary care and rationalise secondary care referrals, including the many patients with fatty liver and relatively minor elevations in alanine transaminase.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsArea Under CurveAscitesBiomarkersEarly DiagnosisFemaleHumansKaplan-Meier EstimateLiverLiver CirrhosisMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsVaricose VeinsBiomarkers

Identifiers

PMID22947582
PMCPMC3426600
OpenAlexW2140217269

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.