Evidence map›Paper›PMID 22936052›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2013

Interdisciplinary approaches to understanding disease emergence: the past, present, and future drivers of Nipah virus emergence.

Peter Daszak, Carlos Zambrana-Torrelio, Tiffany L Bogich, Miguel Fernandez, Jonathan H Epstein, Kris A Murray, Healy Hamilton

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 74 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
74citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
9.9field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

74 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 157 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Trial
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Toward Relationality in Infectious Disease Research.Open forum infectious diseases · 2025
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
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  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. Henipaviruses-A constant threat to livestock and humans.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2022
    Review

14 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Peter DaszakEcoHealth Alliance, New York, NY 10001, USA. daszak@ecohealthalliance.org
Carlos Zambrana-Torrelio
Tiffany L Bogich
Miguel Fernandez
Jonathan H Epstein
Kris A Murray
Healy Hamilton
EcoHealth Alliance · USMarine Conservation Institute · USUniversity of California, Merced · US

Funding

The Ecology, Emergence and Pandemic Potential of Nipah virus in BangladeshR01TW005869 · FIC · WILDLIFE TRUST · PI DASZAK, PETER · 2002 to 2012
$5.5M
Risk of Viral Emergence from BatsR01AI079231 · NIAID · ECOHEALTH ALLIANCE, INC. · PI DASZAK, PETER · 2008 to 2012
$2.6M
Risk for Future Outbreaks of Henipaviruses in South AsiaK08AI067549 · NIAID · ECOHEALTH ALLIANCE, INC. · PI EPSTEIN, JONATHAN H · 2007 to 2010
$574k
FIC NIH HHS 2R01-TW005869FIC NIH HHS R01 TW005869NIAID NIH HHS 1 R01 AI079231NIAID NIH HHS K08 AI067549NIAID NIH HHS K08AI067549NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI079231
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Emerging infectious diseases (EIDs) pose a significant threat to human health, economic stability, and biodiversity. Despite this, the mechanisms underlying disease emergence are still not fully understood, and control measures rely heavily on mitigating the impact of EIDs after they have emerged. Here, we highlight the emergence of a zoonotic Henipavirus, Nipah virus, to demonstrate the interdisciplinary and macroecological approaches necessary to understand EID emergence. Previous work suggests that Nipah virus emerged due to the interaction of the wildlife reservoir (Pteropus spp. fruit bats) with intensively managed livestock. The emergence of this and other henipaviruses involves interactions among a suite of anthropogenic environmental changes, socioeconomic factors, and changes in demography that overlay and interact with the distribution of these pathogens in their wildlife reservoirs. Here, we demonstrate how ecological niche modeling may be used to investigate the potential role of a changing climate on the future risk for Henipavirus emergence. We show that the distribution of Henipavirus reservoirs, and therefore henipaviruses, will likely change under climate change scenarios, a fundamental precondition for disease emergence in humans. We assess the variation among climate models to estimate where Henipavirus host distribution is most likely to expand, contract, or remain stable, presenting new risks for human health. We conclude that there is substantial potential to use this modeling framework to explore the distribution of wildlife hosts under a changing climate. These approaches may directly inform current and future management and surveillance strategies aiming to improve pathogen detection and, ultimately, reduce emergence risk.

Indexed as

Communicable Diseases, EmergingAnimalsChiropteraClimate ChangeDisease ReservoirsEcologyHenipavirusHenipavirus InfectionsHumansMalaysiaModels, BiologicalNipah VirusPublic Health

Identifiers

PMID22936052
PMCPMC3586606
OpenAlexW2133396836

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.