ArticleInternational journal of medical sciences2012
Validation of the prediction model for success of vaginal birth after cesarean delivery in Japanese women.
Article in International journal of medical sciences, 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
17 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 59 citations in OpenAlex.
- Factors associated with successful vaginal birth after a cesarean section: a systematic review and meta-analysis.BMC pregnancy and childbirth · 2019Pooled it
- Preference and determinants of delivery mode in pregnant women with one cesarean scar: a cross-sectional study in two urban Ugandan public hospitals.BMC pregnancy and childbirth · 2025Article
- Article
- Models for predicting vaginal birth after cesarean section: scoping review.BMC pregnancy and childbirth · 2024Article
- Validation of Grobman's graphical nomogram for prediction of vaginal delivery in Indian women with previous caesarean section.European journal of obstetrics & gynecology and reproductive biology: X · 2023Article
- Validation of the Grobman model for successful vaginal birth after cesarean section in Jordanian women.BMC pregnancy and childbirth · 2023Article
- Outcome of Induction of Labor with Foley's Catheter in Women with Previous One Cesarean Section with Unfavorable Cervix: An Experience From a Tertiary Care Institute in South India.Journal of obstetrics and gynaecology of India · 2022Article
- Prediction of vaginal birth after cesarean delivery in term gestations: a calculator without race and ethnicity.American journal of obstetrics and gynecology · 2021Article
- Validation of a Vaginal Birth after Cesarean Delivery Prediction Model in Teaching Hospitals of Addis Ababa University: A Cross-Sectional Study.BioMed research international · 2020Article
- Verification a model of predicting vaginal birth after cesarean delivery in Chinese pregnant women.Medicine · 2019Article
- Predicting Successful Trial of Labor After Cesarean Delivery: Evaluation of Two Scoring Systems.Journal of obstetrics and gynaecology of India · 2018Article
- Prediction of vaginal birth after cesarean delivery in Chinese parturients.Scientific reports · 2018Article
- Application of predictive model for vaginal birth after caesarean delivery.International journal of nursing sciences · 2018Review
- Validation of a Prediction Model for Vaginal Birth after Cesarean Delivery Reveals Unexpected Success in a Diverse American Population.AJP reports · 2017Article
- Use of Intracervical Foley Catheter for Induction of Labour in Cases of Previous Caesarean Section: Experience of a single tertiary centre in Oman.Sultan Qaboos University medical journal · 2016Article
- Validation of a vaginal birth after cesarean delivery prediction model in women with two prior cesarean deliveries.Obstetrics and gynecology · 2015Article
- Pregnancy outcomes associated with Cesarean deliveries in Peruvian public health facilities.International journal of women's health · 2013Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
6 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
aimTo validate a previously developed prediction model for vaginal birth after cesarean (VBAC) using a Japanese cohort.
methodsWe performed a cohort study of all term pregnant women with a vertex position, singleton gestation, and one prior low transverse cesarean delivery attempting a trial of labor between April 1985 and March 2010. Variables necessary for the prediction of successful VBAC were maternal age, pre-pregnancy body mass index, ethnicity, prior vaginal delivery, prior VBAC, and indication for prior cesarean delivery. They were extracted from medical records and put into the formula that calculates an individual woman's predicted VBAC success rate. The predicted rates were then partitioned into deciles and compared with the actual VBAC rates. The predictive ability of the model was assessed with a receiver operating characteristic and the area under the curve (AUC) was determined.
resultsSeven hundred and twenty-five women who met the inclusion criteria had complete data available, of which 664 (91.6%) had VBAC. The predicted probability of VBAC, as calculated by the regression equation, was significantly higher in those who had a successful trial of labor (median 80.1%, interquartile range 71.5-88.7) than those who did not (median 69.4%, interquartile range 59.9-78.9, P<0.001). The predictive model had AUC of 0.80, which was comparative to the originally described one. When the predicted rates were each deciles of over 70%, the actual success rates were more than 90%.
conclusionThe previously published prediction model for VBAC developed in the USA is also available to Japanese women.
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