Evidence map›Paper›PMID 22907552›Full record

SynthesisJournal of the Royal Society of Medicine2012

Primary prevention of cardiovascular disease using validated risk scores: a systematic review.

Andrew Willis, Melanie Davies, Thomas Yates, Kamlesh Khunti

Erratum issued Registry-linked trialAbstract readComparative StudySystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine, 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. It is linked to trial NCT07039123 (Polygenic Risk Score to Optimize Primary Prevention in Intermediate Risk Population), which is not on this map. Cited by 23 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT07039123 naactive not recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2025, after this paper: background citation

Polygenic Risk Score to Optimize Primary Prevention in Intermediate Risk Population (PERSONAL)

TypeinterventionalSponsorUniversity of BernRan2025 to 2027Enrolled205ConditionsPrimary Prevention of Cardiovascular DiseaseArmsPolygenic Risk Score for Coronary Artery Disease (PRS-CAD), Standardized Risk Communication Tool (SCORE2)
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  4. Risk scoring for the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2017
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  9. Comorbidity clusters in patients with moderate-to-severe OSA.Sleep & breathing = Schlaf & Atmung · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

  • Erratum issued
5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Andrew WillisDepartment of Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester LE1 6TP, UK. aw187@le.ac.uk
Melanie Davies
Thomas Yates
Kamlesh Khunti

Funding

Department of Health RP-DG-1210-10183Department of Health RP-PG-0606-1272
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThe high prevalence of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and the increased cost of treatment have prompted strategies for the primary prevention of CVD in the UK to move towards the use of validated CVD risk scores to identify individuals at the highest risk. There are no reviews evaluating the effectiveness of this strategy as a means of reducing CVD risk or mortality. This review summarizes current evidence for and against the use of validated CVD risk scores for the primary prevention of CVD.

designWe utilized an in depth search strategy to search MEDLINE, EMBASE and the Cochrane database of clinical trials, expert opinions were sought and reference lists of identified studies and relevant reviews were checked. Due to a lack of homogeneity in outcomes and risk scores used it was not possible to conduct a meta-analysis of the identified studies.

settingThe majority of included trials were carried out in a primary care setting. 2 trials were carried out in North America, 2 in Scandinavia and 1 in the UK.

participants31,651 participants in total were recruited predominantly from a primary care setting. Participants were aged 18-65 years old and were free from CVD at baseline.

main outcome measuresOutcome measures used in the included studies were change in validated CVD risk score and CVD/All-cause mortality.

resultsWe identified 16 papers which matched the inclusion criteria reporting 5 unique trials. Due to a lack of homogeneity in outcomes and risk scores used it was not possible to conduct a meta-analysis of the identified studies. Only one study reported a significant difference in risk score at follow up and one study reported a significant difference in total mortality, however significant differences in individual risk factors were reported by the majority of identified studies.

conclusionsThis review demonstrates the potential for multifactorial interventions aimed at individuals selected by CVD risk scores for lowering CVD risk and mortality. However, the majority of studies in this area do not provide an intensity of intervention which is sufficient in significantly reducing CVD mortality or validated CVD risk.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedCardiovascular DiseasesEvidence-Based MedicineFemaleHealth PromotionHumansMaleMiddle AgedNorth AmericaOutcome Assessment, Health CarePrimary PreventionRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicReproducibility of ResultsRisk Assessment

Identifiers

PMID22907552
PMCPMC3423129

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.