Evidence map›Paper›PMID 22891347›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2012

Suicide and drought in New South Wales, Australia, 1970-2007.

Ivan C Hanigan, Colin D Butler, Philip N Kokic, Michael F Hutchinson

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 71 papers, 10 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
71citing papers in PubMed, 10 pooled it
7.8field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

71 citing papers in PubMed, 10 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 248 citations in OpenAlex.

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  5. A Systematic Literature Review of the Impact of Climate Change on the Global Demand for Psychiatric Services.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023
    Pooled it
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  7. Factors Associated with Suicidal Behavior in Farmers: A Systematic Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Pooled it
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  10. The Mental Health Outcomes of Drought: A Systematic Review and Causal Process Diagram.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2015
    Pooled it
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11 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Ivan C HaniganNational Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, Research School of Population Health, Australian National University, Canberra ACT 0200, Australia. ivan.hanigan@anu.edu.au
Colin D Butler
Philip N Kokic
Michael F Hutchinson
Australian National University · AUCommonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation · AU

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

There is concern in Australia that droughts substantially increase the incidence of suicide in rural populations, particularly among male farmers and their families. We investigated this possibility for the state of New South Wales (NSW), Australia between 1970 and 2007, analyzing data on suicides with a previously established climatic drought index. Using a generalized additive model that controlled for season, region, and long-term suicide trends, we found an increased relative risk of suicide of 15% (95% confidence interval, 8%-22%) for rural males aged 30-49 y when the drought index rose from the first quartile to the third quartile. In contrast, the risk of suicide for rural females aged >30 y declined with increased values of the drought index. We also observed an increased risk of suicide in spring and early summer. In addition there was a smaller association during unusually warm months at any time of year. The spring suicide increase is well documented in nontropical locations, although its cause is unknown. The possible increased risk of suicide during drought in rural Australia warrants public health focus and concern, as does the annual, predictable increase seen each spring and early summer. Suicide is a complex phenomenon with many interacting social, environmental, and biological causal factors. The relationship between drought and suicide is best understood using a holistic framework. Climate change projections suggest increased frequency and severity of droughts in NSW, accompanied and exacerbated by rising temperatures. Elucidating the relationships between drought and mental health will help facilitate adaptation to climate change.

Indexed as

Adaptation, PsychologicalAdultAgricultureClimate ChangeDepressive DisorderDroughtsFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedNew South WalesRainRisk FactorsRural PopulationSuicide

Identifiers

PMID22891347
PMCPMC3435226
OpenAlexW2125896309

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.