ArticleRisk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis2012
Chapter 4: Development of the counterfactual smoking histories used to assess the effects of tobacco control.
Article in Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis, 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
18 citing papers in PubMed.
- Smoking Histories by State in the U.S.American journal of preventive medicine · 2023Article
- A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Lung Cancer Screening With Low-Dose Computed Tomography and a Diagnostic Biomarker.JNCI cancer spectrum · 2021Article
- Article
- Modeling Strategies to Optimize Cancer Screening in USPSTF Guideline-Noncompliant Women.JAMA oncology · 2021Article
- Disparities of National Lung Cancer Screening Guidelines in the US Population.Journal of the National Cancer Institute · 2020Article
- Stochastic Counterfactual Risk Analysis for the Vulnerability Assessment of Cyber-Physical Attacks on Electricity Distribution Infrastructure Networks.Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · 2019Article
- Predicting the Epidemiological Dynamics of Lung Cancer in Japan.Journal of clinical medicine · 2019Article
- Population impact of lung cancer screening in the United States: Projections from a microsimulation model.PLoS medicine · 2018Article
- Evaluating the impact of varied compliance to lung cancer screening recommendations using a microsimulation model.Cancer causes & control : CCC · 2017Article
- The impact of overdiagnosis on the selection of efficient lung cancer screening strategies.International journal of cancer · 2017Article
- Comparison of Smoking History Patterns Among African American and White Cohorts in the United States Born 1890 to 1990.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2016Article
- Article
- Time trends of Italian former smokers 1980-2009 and 2010-2030 projections using a Bayesian age period cohort model.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2013Article
- Chapter 9: The MGH-HMS lung cancer policy model: tobacco control versus screening.Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · 2012Article
- Chapter 12: Yale lung cancer model.Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · 2012Article
- Chapter 6: Lung cancer in never smokers: epidemiology and risk prediction models.Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · 2012Article
- Chapter 5: Actual and counterfactual smoking prevalence rates in the U.S. population via microsimulation.Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · 2012Article
- Chapter 13: CISNET lung models: comparison of model assumptions and model structures.Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · 2012Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Publication of the Surgeon General's Report in 1964 marshaled evidence of the harm to public health caused by cigarette smoking, including lung cancer mortality, and provided an impetus for introducing control programs. The purpose of this article is to develop estimates of their effect on basic smoking exposure input parameters related to introduction of the report. Fundamental inputs used to generate exposure to cigarettes are initiation and cessation rates for men and women, as well as the distribution of the number of cigarettes smoked per day. These fundamental quantities are presented for three scenarios: actual tobacco control in the United States; no tobacco control in which the experience before 1955 was assumed to continue; and complete tobacco control in which all smoking ceased following publication of the report. These results were derived using data from National Health Interview Surveys, and they provide basic input parameters for the Smoking History Generator used by each of the lung cancer models developed by the Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.