Evidence map›Paper›PMID 22872067›Full record

ArticleArchives of disease in childhood2012

Predicting mortality for paediatric inpatients where malaria is uncommon.

Dana C Clifton, Habib O Ramadhani, Levina J Msuya, Boniface N Njau, Grace D Kinabo, Ann M Buchanan, John A Crump

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Archives of disease in childhood, 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
1.6field-weighted citation impact, top 16% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 11 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Application of Sepsis Definitions to Pediatric Patients Admitted With Suspected Infections in Uganda.Pediatric critical care medicine : a journal of the Society of Critical Care Medicine and the World Federation of Pediatric Intensive and Critical Care Societies · 2016
    Trial
  2. Trial
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Invasive Salmonella infections in areas of high and low malaria transmission intensity in Tanzania.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2014
    Article
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.

Dana C CliftonDivision of Infectious Diseases and International Health, Department of Medicine, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, NC 27710, USA.
Habib O Ramadhani
Levina J Msuya
Boniface N Njau
Grace D Kinabo
Ann M Buchanan
John A Crump
Duke Medical Center · USKilimanjaro Christian Medical Centre · TZDuke Institute for Health Innovation · US

Funding

Viral Sequencing CoreU19AI067854 · NIAID · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI BHARDWAJ, NINA · 2006 to 2011
$290.5M
LOC-IMPAACT Leadership GroupPharmacokinetics and Safety of Remdesivir for Treatment of COVID-19 in Pregnant Women in the USUM1AI068632 · NIAID · SOCIAL AND SCIENTIFIC SYSTEMS, INC. · PI Jennifer Jao, Sharon A Nachman · 2011 to 2026
$278.1M
International Maternal Pediatric Adolescent AIDS Clinical Trials (IMPAACT) GroupU01AI068632 · NIAID · SOCIAL AND SCIENTIFIC SYSTEMS, INC. · PI JACKSON, J BROOKS · 2006 to 2010
$109.7M
Viral and Host Determinants of HIV-1 TransmissionU01AI067854 · NIAID · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI HAYNES, BARTON F · 2005 to 2005
$14.9M
HIV/AIDS Clinical Trials UnitU01AI069484 · NIAID · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI BARTLETT, JOHN A · 2007 to 2011
$14.6M
International Clinical Trials UnitU01AI062563 · NIAID · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI BARTLETT, JOHN A · 2004 to 2007
$4.0M
AIDS International Training and Research ProgramD43TW006732 · FIC · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI BARTLETT, JOHN A · 2004 to 2012
$2.7M
The Impact and Society Ecology of Bacterial Zoonoses in Northern Tanzania: UnderR01TW009237 · FIC · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI CRUMP, JOHN ANDREW · 2011 to 2014
$1.7M
FIC NIH HHS D43 TW006732FIC NIH HHS R01 TW009237NIAID NIH HHS AI068632NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI062563NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI067854NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI068632NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI069484NIAID NIH HHS U19 AI067854NIAID NIH HHS UM1 AI068632
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveAs the proportion of children living low malaria transmission areas in sub-Saharan Africa increases, approaches for identifying non-malarial severe illness need to be evaluated to improve child outcomes.

designAs a prospective cohort study, we identified febrile paediatric inpatients, recorded data using Integrated Management of Childhood Illness (IMCI) criteria, and collected diagnostic specimens.

settingTertiary referral centre, northern Tanzania.

resultsOf 466 participants with known outcome, median age was 1.4 years (range 2 months-13.0 years), 200 (42.9%) were female, 11 (2.4%) had malaria and 34 (7.3%) died. Inpatient death was associated with: Capillary refill >3 s (OR 9.0, 95% CI 3.0 to 26.7), inability to breastfeed or drink (OR 8.9, 95% CI 4.0 to 19.6), stiff neck (OR 7.0, 95% CI 2.8 to 17.6), lethargy (OR 5.2, 95% CI 2.5 to 10.6), skin pinch >2 s (OR 4.8, 95% CI 1.9 to 12.3), respiratory difficulty (OR 4.0, 95% CI 1.9 to 8.2), generalised lymphadenopathy (OR 3.6, 95% CI 1.6 to 8.3) and oral candidiasis (OR 3.4, 95% CI 1.4 to 8.3). BCS <5 (OR 27.2, p<0.001) and severe wasting (OR 6.9, p<0.001) were independently associated with inpatient death.

conclusionsIn a low malaria transmission setting, IMCI criteria performed well for predicting inpatient death from non-malarial illness. Laboratory results were not as useful in predicting death, underscoring the importance of clinical examination in assessing prognosis. Healthcare workers should consider local malaria epidemiology as malaria over-diagnosis in children may delay potentially life-saving interventions in areas where malaria is uncommon.

Indexed as

AdolescentCause of DeathChildChild, HospitalizedChild, PreschoolCohort StudiesFemaleHospital MortalityHumansInfantInpatientsMalaria, FalciparumMalePredictive Value of TestsProspective StudiesRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID22872067
PMCPMC3508729
OpenAlexW2042016609

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.