Evidence map›Paper›PMID 22868751›Full record

ArticleArchives of general psychiatry2012

Birth cohort effects on adolescent alcohol use: the influence of social norms from 1976 to 2007.

Katherine M Keyes, John E Schulenberg, Patrick M O'Malley, Lloyd D Johnston, Jerald G Bachman, Guohua Li, Deborah Hasin

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Archives of general psychiatry, 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 53 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
53citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
7.8field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

53 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 97 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  17. Demographic and psychological predictors of alcohol use and misuse in autistic adults.Autism : the international journal of research and practice · 2021
    Article
  18. Article
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  20. The Normative Underpinnings of Population-Level Alcohol Use: An Individual-Level Simulation Model.Health education & behavior : the official publication of the Society for Public Health Education · 2020
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Katherine M Keyes
John E Schulenberg
Patrick M O'Malley
Lloyd D Johnston
Jerald G Bachman
Guohua Li
Deborah Hasin
University of Michigan–Ann Arbor · USColumbia University · US

Funding

Monitoring the Future: Drug Use & Lifestyles of American Youth (Supp1: Nicotine Pouch and E-cigarette Use Among US Adolescents: National Estimates of Brand Use and Flavor Preferences)R01DA001411 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Richard A Miech · 1985 to 2026
$144.9M
Alcohol in Aviation and Motor CarriersR01AA009963 · NIAAA · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI LI, GUOHUA · 1999 to 2010
$2.3M
Epidemiologic Studies of Alcohol Use Disorders (ongoing)K05AA014223 · NIAAA · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI HASIN, DEBORAH S · 2003 to 2012
$1.5M
Effectiveness of Mandatory Prescription Drug MonitoringR21DA029670 · NIDA · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI LI, GUOHUA · 2011 to 2012
$418k
Age-period-cohort effects on substance use in adolescence, 1976-2006F31DA026689 · NIDA · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI KEYES, KATHERINE M. · 2009 to 2009
$25k
NIAAA NIH HHS K05 AA014223NIAAA NIH HHS R01 AA009963NIDA NIH HHS F31 DA026689NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA001411NIDA NIH HHS R21 DA029670
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

CONTEXT The substantial changes in adolescent alcohol use prevalence over time suggest that population-level environmental factors are important determinants of use, yet the potential influence of such environmental factors is inadequately understood. OBJECTIVE To investigate whether adolescents in birth cohorts and/or time periods characterized by restrictive social norms toward alcohol were at decreased risk for alcohol use and binge drinking, controlling for individual attitudes (disapproval) toward use. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS In 32 annual national surveys of US high school students, a total of 967 562 students contributed outcome data from 1976 through 2007. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES Frequency of past-year alcohol use and any instance of binge drinking (≥5 drinks) in the past 2 weeks, analyzed using multilevel models clustering individuals within periods and birth cohorts. Period- and cohort-specific social norm scores (indicating the proportion disapproving of weekend binge drinking) were modeled as predictors, controlling for individual attitudes and demographic characteristics. RESULTS Individuals who matured in birth cohorts with more restrictive social norms were less likely to use alcohol compared with individuals who matured in cohorts with more permissive norms; each 5% increase in the cohort-specific disapproval was associated with a 12% decrease in the odds of past-year alcohol use (odds ratio = 0.88; 99% CI, 0.87-0.89). The effects of cohort-specific disapproval were notably stronger among white adolescents than nonwhite adolescents. CONCLUSIONS This study documents the importance of considering time-varying population-level risk factors in the study of adolescent alcohol use and indicates that, even after an individual's personal attitudes are accounted for, risk is shaped by cohort effects whereby the norms within the cohort contribute to the risk of adolescent alcohol use.

Identifiers

PMID22868751
PMCPMC3597448
OpenAlexW2164132113

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.