Evidence map›Paper›PMID 22866767›Full record

Trial reportBMC medical research methodology2012

Comparing marginal structural models to standard methods for estimating treatment effects of antihypertensive combination therapy.

Tobias Gerhard, Joseph Ac Delaney, Rhonda M Cooper-Dehoff, Jonathan Shuster, Babette A Brumback, Julie A Johnson, Carl J Pepine, Almut G Winterstein

Registry-linked trialAbstract readComparative StudyRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in BMC medical research methodology, 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT00133692 (INternational VErapamil SR Trandolapril STudy), which is not on this map. Cited by 13 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT00133692 phase4completednot on this map

INternational VErapamil SR Trandolapril STudy

TypeinterventionalSponsorUniversity of FloridaRan1997 to 2003Enrolled22,000ConditionsHypertension, Coronary Artery DiseaseArmsVerapamil SR/Trandolapril/Hydrochlorothiazide (HCTZ), Atenolol/HCTZ/Trandolapril
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Tobias GerhardInstitute for Health, Health Care Policy and Aging Research, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ, USA. tgerhard@rci.rutgers.edu
Joseph Ac Delaney
Rhonda M Cooper-Dehoff
Jonathan Shuster
Babette A Brumback
Julie A Johnson
Carl J Pepine
Almut G Winterstein

Funding

Center for Education and Research on Mental Health Ther*U18HS016097 · AHRQ · RUTGERS, THE STATE UNIV OF N.J. · PI CRYSTAL, STEPHEN · 2006 to 2010
$3.7M
Metabolic Effects of Antihypertensive DrugsK23HL086558 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA · PI COOPER-DEHOFF, RHONDA M · 2007 to 2011
$672k
AHRQ HHS U18 HS016097NHLBI NIH HHS K23 HL086558NHLBI NIH HHS K23HL86558
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDue to time-dependent confounding by blood pressure and differential loss to follow-up, it is difficult to estimate the effectiveness of aggressive versus conventional antihypertensive combination therapies in non-randomized comparisons.

methodsWe utilized data from 22,576 hypertensive coronary artery disease patients, prospectively enrolled in the INternational VErapamil-Trandolapril STudy (INVEST). Our post-hoc analyses did not consider the randomized treatment strategies, but instead defined exposure time-dependently as aggressive treatment (≥3 concomitantly used antihypertensive medications) versus conventional treatment (≤2 concomitantly used antihypertensive medications). Study outcome was defined as time to first serious cardiovascular event (non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, or all-cause death). We compared hazard ratio (HR) estimates for aggressive vs. conventional treatment from a Marginal Structural Cox Model (MSCM) to estimates from a standard Cox model. Both models included exposure to antihypertensive treatment at each follow-up visit, demographics, and baseline cardiovascular risk factors, including blood pressure. The MSCM further adjusted for systolic blood pressure at each follow-up visit, through inverse probability of treatment weights.

results2,269 (10.1%) patients experienced a cardiovascular event over a total follow-up of 60,939 person-years. The HR for aggressive treatment estimated by the standard Cox model was 0.96 (95% confidence interval 0.87-1.07). The equivalent MSCM, which was able to account for changes in systolic blood pressure during follow-up, estimated a HR of 0.81 (95% CI 0.71-0.92).

conclusionsUsing a MSCM, aggressive treatment was associated with a lower risk for serious cardiovascular outcomes compared to conventional treatment. In contrast, a standard Cox model estimated similar risks for aggressive and conventional treatments.

trial registrationClinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT00133692.

Indexed as

Drug Therapy, CombinationProportional Hazards ModelsAgedAntihypertensive AgentsBlood PressureConfounding Factors, EpidemiologicCoronary Artery DiseaseFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansHydrochlorothiazideHypertensionIndolesMaleMiddle AgedModels, StructuralAntihypertensive AgentsHydrochlorothiazideIndolestrandolaprilVerapamil

Identifiers

PMID22866767
PMCPMC3573973

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.